K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Above 190
Settles Oct 20, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

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chance of YES54% +18.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
25–56%
24h volume
2.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
3.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 15098%4.0K
Above 16094%2.4K
Above 17088%6.5K
Above 18081%5.3K
Above 18566%1.0K
Above 20026%3.2K
Above 21010%1.3K
Above 2204%1.3K