Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
chance of YES94%
+4.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
86–95%
24h volume
2.4K
Open interest
9.9K
Large orders (14d)
$6K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 93¢ | 1,500 | $1K | |
| YES | 87¢ | 3,000 | $3K | |
| YES | 83¢ | 2,492 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.