Will there be more than 210 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
chance of YES16%
+1.5pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
14–17%
24h volume
5.0K
Open interest
1.4K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 84¢ | 1,520 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.