Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
chance of YES8%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–9%
24h volume
4.9K
Open interest
239.4K
Bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0¢ | 35 | 6.0¢ | 2,907 |
| 3.0¢ | 1,059 | 7.0¢ | 3,326 |
| 2.0¢ | 3,188 | 8.0¢ | 3,751 |
| 1.0¢ | 2,158 | 9.0¢ | 5,000 |
| 10.0¢ | 4,000 |
Mid 5.0¢ · spread 2.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
7,800 to 7,999.9924%2.4K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%14.3K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%259
8,000 to 8,199.9912%6.8K
7,400 to 7,599.9910%7.5K
7,000 to 7,199.996%1.8K
8,200 to 8,399.996%1.0K
6,800 to 6,999.994%1.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 93¢ | 1,857 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.