Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
chance of YES12%
-5.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–23%
24h volume
6.8K
Open interest
304.3K
Bid / ask
17¢ / 18¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.0¢ | 379 | 18.0¢ | 5,472 |
| 16.0¢ | 1,764 | 19.0¢ | 3,670 |
| 15.0¢ | 2,950 | 20.0¢ | 4,320 |
| 14.0¢ | 404 | 21.0¢ | 2,019 |
| 13.0¢ | 1,577 | 22.0¢ | 525 |
Mid 17.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
7,800 to 7,999.9924%2.4K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%14.3K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%259
7,400 to 7,599.9910%7.5K
7,200 to 7,399.998%4.9K
7,000 to 7,199.996%1.8K
8,200 to 8,399.996%1.0K
6,800 to 6,999.994%1.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 83¢ | 1,632 | $1K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 1,563 | $1K | |
| NO | 85¢ | 1,412 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.