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Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (61d) All outcomes: S&P close price end of 2026? Futures

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chance of YES10% +1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
6–13%
30d -9 pts · 7d +25 pts
24h volume
7.5K
$1 contracts
Open interest
282.5K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
6¢ / 8¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
6.0¢ 2,066 8.0¢ 2,121
5.0¢ 502 9.0¢ 2,009
4.0¢ 350 10.0¢ 2,082
3.0¢ 1,334 11.0¢ 2,021
2.0¢ 550 12.0¢ 2,014

Mid 7.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

7,800 to 7,999.9924%2.4K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%14.3K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%259
8,000 to 8,199.9912%6.8K
7,200 to 7,399.998%4.9K
7,000 to 7,199.996%1.8K
8,200 to 8,399.996%1.0K
6,800 to 6,999.994%1.6K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO91¢ 1,767$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.