K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (61d) All outcomes: S&P close price end of 2026? Futures

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chance of YES24% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
12–27%
30d +25 pts · 7d +4 pts
24h volume
2.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
290.1K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
11.0¢ 160 12.0¢ 524
10.0¢ 715 13.0¢ 102,022
9.0¢ 1,099 14.0¢ 2,005
8.0¢ 101,561 20.0¢ 1,720
7.0¢ 349 21.0¢ 13

Mid 11.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

7,600 to 7,799.9916%14.3K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%259
8,000 to 8,199.9912%6.8K
7,400 to 7,599.9910%7.5K
7,200 to 7,399.998%4.9K
7,000 to 7,199.996%1.8K
8,200 to 8,399.996%1.0K
6,800 to 6,999.994%1.6K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO80¢ 3,821$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.