K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (61d) All outcomes: S&P close price end of 2026? Futures

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chance of YES16% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
7–17%
30d +0 pts · 7d +14 pts
24h volume
14.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
249.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
12.0¢ 1,725 13.0¢ 141
11.0¢ 664 14.0¢ 3,901
10.0¢ 6 15.0¢ 21
9.0¢ 339 16.0¢ 567
8.0¢ 450 17.0¢ 621

Mid 12.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

7,800 to 7,999.9924%2.4K
8,000 to 8,199.9912%6.8K
7,400 to 7,599.9910%7.5K
7,200 to 7,399.998%4.9K
7,000 to 7,199.996%1.8K
8,200 to 8,399.996%1.0K
6,800 to 6,999.994%1.6K
9,000.01 or above2%118

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES17¢ 7,885$1K
NO86¢ 1,437$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.