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Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (61d) All outcomes: S&P close price end of 2026? Futures

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chance of YES6% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
6–13%
30d -40 pts · 7d -14 pts
24h volume
1.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
231.8K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
12.0¢ 100,010 13.0¢ 7,820
11.0¢ 43 14.0¢ 5,565
10.0¢ 142 15.0¢ 2,440
9.0¢ 412 16.0¢ 3,440
8.0¢ 4,298 17.0¢ 101,500

Mid 12.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

7,800 to 7,999.9924%2.4K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%14.3K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%259
8,000 to 8,199.9912%6.8K
7,400 to 7,599.9910%7.5K
7,200 to 7,399.998%4.9K
7,000 to 7,199.996%1.8K
6,800 to 6,999.994%1.6K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO94¢ 1,344$1K
NO93¢ 1,379$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.