kalshi
Elections
Who will win the next presidential election?
Andy Beshear
3%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 4% ·
Low 2%
· 7d +11.1pp
· 30d +15.4pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner currently indicates a 3% probability that the winning candidate will be "YES". This assessment is informed by known facts such as the current political landscape and the candidates' relative popularity among voters. The market price may fluctuate in response to new developments, such as changes in public opinion or shifts in party dynamics. A significant event that could impact the price upward would be a major scandal or controversy affecting one of the leading candidates, while a decline in the "YES" price could result from increased support for an alternative candidate or a shift in voter sentiment. The market will close on November 7th, 2029, at 3:00 PM UTC, providing a final snapshot of the collective wisdom of market participants.
Generated Jul 28, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9¢ | 99900 | 3.1¢ | 5030 | |
| 2.8¢ | 1 | 3.6¢ | 14 | |
| 2.7¢ | 1462 | 3.7¢ | 25684 | |
| 2.6¢ | 5 | 3.9¢ | 52000 | |
| 2.5¢ | 262 | 4.0¢ | 51000 |
Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 3.0¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.