kalshi Elections

Who will win the next presidential election?

Andy Beshear
Closes Nov 07, 2029 (1191d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 1.5M Event 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
3%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 4% · Low 2% · 7d +11.1pp · 30d +15.4pp
4%2%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner currently indicates a 3% probability that the winning candidate will be "YES". This assessment is informed by known facts such as the current political landscape and the candidates' relative popularity among voters. The market price may fluctuate in response to new developments, such as changes in public opinion or shifts in party dynamics. A significant event that could impact the price upward would be a major scandal or controversy affecting one of the leading candidates, while a decline in the "YES" price could result from increased support for an alternative candidate or a shift in voter sentiment. The market will close on November 7th, 2029, at 3:00 PM UTC, providing a final snapshot of the collective wisdom of market participants.
Generated Jul 28, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
2.9¢ 99900 3.1¢ 5030
2.8¢ 1 3.6¢ 14
2.7¢ 1462 3.7¢ 25684
2.6¢ 5 3.9¢ 52000
2.5¢ 262 4.0¢ 51000
Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 3.0¢

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.