kalshi
Elections
Who will win the next presidential election?
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 9% ·
Low 5%
· 7d +5.9pp
· 30d +11.1pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner indicates a current YES price of 0.07, suggesting a roughly 7% probability that the winning candidate will be "YES". This assessment is informed by known facts such as the ongoing political climate, public opinion polls, and historical trends in presidential elections. The market's current valuation does not take into account any potential changes or developments that may occur between now and the election date in November 2028. Any significant shifts in these factors could impact the price, potentially driving it up if new information emerges that increases the likelihood of a "YES" outcome or down if circumstances change to favor another candidate.
Generated Jun 27, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5¢ | 17647 | 8.6¢ | 1 | |
| 8.4¢ | 100 | 8.8¢ | 27650 | |
| 8.2¢ | 9 | 9.0¢ | 7 | |
| 8.1¢ | 107 | 9.1¢ | 1 | |
| 8.0¢ | 100 | 9.2¢ | 3 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 8.6¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.