kalshi
Elections
Who will win the next presidential election?
Kamala Harris
5%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 7% ·
Low 4%
· 7d -9.4pp
· 30d +2.1pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election is currently pricing in a 5% probability that the current favorite will emerge victorious. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the candidate's popularity among voters and their party's historical performance in presidential elections. The market is not reflecting any significant changes or developments at this time, with the price remaining steady. A shift in public opinion or a major policy announcement from one of the candidates could potentially impact the price, causing it to rise if the favorite's chances improve or fall if their prospects decline. Conversely, a surprise development that boosts the underdog's chances could cause the YES price to increase.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.9¢ | 7 | 5.3¢ | 31014 | |
| 4.8¢ | 15 | 5.4¢ | 30005 | |
| 4.7¢ | 126 | 5.5¢ | 88791 | |
| 4.6¢ | 22 | 5.6¢ | 5001 | |
| 4.5¢ | 1642 | 5.7¢ | 50039 |
Spread 0.4¢ · Mid 5.1¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.