polymarket
Politics
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Tom Cotton
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 11 days ·
High 0% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -40.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on Tom Cotton's chances of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination currently indicates a 0% probability, with a YES price of $0.00. This assessment is informed by the fact that Tom Cotton has not yet announced his candidacy or taken any significant steps towards seeking the nomination. The current price does not reflect any known facts about Cotton's potential campaign, as none have been publicly disclosed. A change in this market's price would likely require a formal announcement of Cotton's candidacy or significant developments in his political career that suggest he is a serious contender for the nomination.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.