Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The prediction market for Ron DeSantis winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination currently reflects a 2% probability, as indicated by a YES price of 0.02. This assessment is informed by known facts about DeSantis's political career and current standing within the Republican Party. The market's resolution will be based on a consensus of official Republican Party sources, which may include announcements from the party or statements from DeSantis himself. Any changes to the nominee prior to election day would not affect the outcome of this market. A shift in DeSantis's popularity or perceived viability as a presidential candidate could potentially impact the YES price, causing it to rise if his prospects improve or fall if they decline.