Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The prediction market on whether Ivanka Trump will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination currently indicates a 1% probability, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about Ivanka Trump's political background and her father's influence within the Republican Party. The current price reflects the market's collective opinion that her chances of securing the nomination are extremely low. Any changes to this assessment would require significant developments in her political career or shifts in the party's dynamics, such as a major endorsement or a notable policy shift. As the market closes on November 7th, 2028, any updates or surprises prior to that date will not impact the resolution of the market.