Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The prediction market on Josh Hawley winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination currently indicates a 0% probability, with a YES price of $0.00. This assessment is informed by known facts about Hawley's political career and current standing within the Republican Party. The market's current price reflects the lack of significant momentum or buzz surrounding his potential candidacy at this point in time. Any changes to the political landscape, such as shifts in party leadership or notable endorsements, could potentially impact the YES price, driving it either up or down depending on how they affect Hawley's perceived chances of securing the nomination. The market will resolve on November 7th, 2028, based on a consensus of official Republican Party sources, and any replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the outcome.