polymarket
Politics
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Kristi Noem
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -28.6pp
· 30d -61.5pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on whether Kristi Noem will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is currently indicating a 0% probability, with a YES price of $0.00. This assessment is based on known facts about Kristi Noem's political career and current standing within the Republican Party. The market is not reflecting any significant events or developments that would suggest she has a high likelihood of winning the nomination at this time. Any changes to her political standing, such as endorsements or controversies, could potentially impact the price of the YES outcome. Conversely, if other candidates gain momentum or receive significant support from party leaders, it may further decrease the probability of Kristi Noem securing the nomination. The market will close on November 7th, 2028, and resolution will be determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Generated Jul 17, 2026
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