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Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES4%
Price range (120d)
3–26%
30d -74 pts · 7d -34 pts
24h volume
$383
USDC traded
Open interest
$19.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Related stocks

AAPL
Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Microsoft72%$1.2K
Alphabet14%$5.8K
NVIDIA6%$243
Amazon4%$2.3K
SpaceX1%$240

How it settles

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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