Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

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chance of YES12% -14.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
10–74%
30d -82 pts · 7d -63 pts
24h volume
$6.5K
USDC traded
Open interest
$18.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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Other outcomes in this event

Microsoft74%$1.2K
NVIDIA6%$243
Amazon4%$2.3K
Apple4%$383
SpaceX1%$240

How it settles

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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