Netanyahu out by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The prediction market is asking whether Benjamin Netanyahu will cease being Prime Minister of Israel by June 30. The current price indicates a 0% probability of this event occurring, suggesting that the market does not currently expect Netanyahu to step down or be removed from office before the specified date. Known facts informing the current price are Netanyahu's continued tenure as Prime Minister and the lack of any publicly announced plans for his resignation or removal. A change in the price upwards would require an announcement of Netanyahu's resignation or removal, while a decrease in the price would likely result from confirmation that he remains in office until June 30. The market will resolve to "Yes" if Netanyahu ceases being Prime Minister at any point between its creation and the specified date, regardless of when his announced resignation or removal goes into effect.