polymarket
World
Netanyahu out by July 31?
July 31
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 48 days ·
High 14% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -75.0pp
· 30d -96.2pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is asking whether Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be Prime Minister of Israel by July 31. As of the current date, the market indicates a 0% probability that this event will occur, with a YES price of $0.00. This assessment is based on known facts about Netanyahu's tenure as Prime Minister and any recent developments that may have impacted his position. A change in the market's price would likely require significant events or announcements related to Netanyahu's resignation or removal from office before July 31.
Generated Jul 28, 2026
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