What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketWorld

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Netanyahu out by...?

chance of YES0%

Price range (120d)

—

24h volume

—

USDC traded

Open interest

$450.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

June 30, 202732%$3.3K

March 31, 202726%$30

December 3120%$3.1K

June 300%—

March 310%—

May 310%—

July 310%—

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.