polymarket
World
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
December 31
63%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 70% ·
Low 34%
· 7d +29.3pp
· 30d +29.3pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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