Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The prediction market is asking whether Benjamin Netanyahu will cease to be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2026. The current price indicates a 34% probability that this event will occur. Known facts informing the current price include Netanyahu's ongoing tenure as Prime Minister and any potential challenges or controversies surrounding his leadership. A significant change in the price would require an announcement of Netanyahu's resignation or removal, which could shift the market towards a "Yes" outcome. Conversely, continued stability in Netanyahu's position as Prime Minister would likely drive the price down. The market will resolve to "Yes" if Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.