Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The prediction market on Tulsi Gabbard winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination suggests a low probability of this event occurring, with a current YES price of 0.01, implying a 1% chance. This assessment is based on known facts about Gabbard's political career and her current affiliation with the Democratic Party, rather than the Republican Party. The market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabbard wins and accepts the nomination, regardless of any changes in party affiliations or replacement of the nominee before election day. Any updates or developments that could potentially alter Gabbard's chances of winning the nomination would likely impact the YES price, with a decrease indicating decreased likelihood and an increase suggesting increased probability.