What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Glenn Youngkin

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (828d) 24h volume — Open interest $9.1M Event Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 2% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -17.4pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing Glenn Youngkin's chances of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at a 1% probability, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is based on known facts and current trends in the political landscape. The market is not reflecting any significant changes or developments that would impact the outcome, as the current price suggests a low likelihood of Youngkin securing the nomination. Any updates or shifts in the political climate could potentially influence the YES price, with an increase indicating growing support for Youngkin's candidacy and a decrease suggesting decreased prospects.

Generated Jul 27, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.