polymarket
Politics
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Byron Donalds
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 1%
· 7d -13.3pp
· 30d -13.3pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Byron Donalds' chances of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination currently assigns a 1% probability to his success, reflected in a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about Donalds' political career and reputation within the Republican Party. The current price does not reflect any specific events or developments that might impact his candidacy, but rather represents the collective opinion of market participants at this point in time. Any changes to the probability of Donalds winning would likely be driven by new information or shifts in public perception about his campaign, such as endorsements, debate performances, or policy announcements.
Generated Jul 04, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.