P PolymarketPolitics & Elections

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Elon Musk
Settles Nov 08, 2028 (750d) All outcomes: Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

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chance of YES0%
Price range (120d)
0–1%
30d +0 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
$1.1K
USDC traded
Open interest
$8.1M
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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Other outcomes in this event

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%—
J.D. Vance44%$51.2K
Marco Rubio14%$13.9K
Ron DeSantis4%$146.7K
Tucker Carlson3%$7.5K
Ted Cruz2%$752
Donald Trump2%$419
Donald Trump Jr.2%$387

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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