AAOX Tradr 2X Long AAOI Daily ETF
ETFETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
Tradr 2X Long AAOI Daily ETF (AAOX) ETF
- Exchange
- BATS
- Inception
- 2026-03-23
- Has Options
- No
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | — | 0 |
| Feb | — | 0 |
| Mar | -29.48% | 1 |
| Apr | +186.60% | 1 |
| May | -18.81% | 1 |
| Jun | -24.09% | 1 |
| Jul | -65.04% | 1 |
| Aug | +20.27% | 1 |
| Sep | -13.57% | 1 |
| Oct | +32.39% | 1 |
| Nov | — | 0 |
| Dec | — | 0 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
AOX Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 8/10)
Key Drivers:
- Technical indicators point to a bearish trend, with momentum oscillators and Bollinger Bands suggesting overbought conditions
- High volatility and beta values indicate high risk
- Recent news sentiment is neutral due to lack of recent headlines
Primary Risks:
- Continued sell-off driven by technical indicators
- Potential for further price drops if the stock fails to break above the 200-day SMA
- High volatility and beta values increase risk exposure
Investment Thesis:
AOX is likely to experience a short-term decline, potentially triggered by a breakdown below the current level. The stock's high beta and volatility suggest increased risk, making it essential for investors to consider position sizing and stop-loss strategies.
Recent News Sentiment Impact:
The lack of recent news headlines has not significantly impacted the stock's price or sentiment.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term: Bearish (1-4 weeks), Medium-term: Downtrend (1-3 months)
Support/Resistance Levels: Key levels to monitor include:
- SMA 20 ($15.87)
- EMA 12 ($12.59)
- Lower Bollinger Band ($6.49)
- 200-day SMA (N/A)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (38.23)
- MACD signal: Bearish (-2.56 / Signal: -0.43 / Histogram: -2.13)
- Bollinger Bands position: Overbought
Volume Analysis: Volume trends indicate a bearish bias, with decreasing volume and a decline in the On-Balance Volume (OBV).
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news headlines available.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment due to lack of recent news.
Catalyst Identification: None identified.
Market Narrative: The lack of recent news has not significantly impacted the stock's price or sentiment.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk relative to market (beta = 8.60).
Volatility Regime: High volatility regime, with a high level of uncertainty.
Options Market Signals: No options data available.
Downside Protection: Critical price levels to monitor include the SMA 20 ($15.87) and the Lower Bollinger Band ($6.49). Stop-loss strategies should be implemented to manage risk.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: AOX is underperforming its sector, with a relative strength of -1.5.
Institutional Activity: No notable institutional activity observed.
Correlation Analysis: The stock has a moderate correlation (0.41) with the broader market.
Relative Valuation: The stock's price is trading within a relatively narrow range compared to its historical volatility and beta values.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20 ($15.87)
- EMA 12 ($12.59)
- Lower Bollinger Band ($6.49)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: None identified.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No upcoming events or news catalysts identified.
Risk Management: Implement stop-loss strategies at critical price levels to manage risk, and consider position sizing based on the stock's high beta and volatility.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 8.19
- Correlation (SPY)
- 40.7%
- R²
- 0.17
- Ann. Volatility
- 268.1%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.3%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Click any bar to view the full quote for that stock.
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