Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.(ALRM)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $41.49 – $59.53
- YTD
- -10.21%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 4.23
- Straddle Price
- $3.38
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 135.00
- Market Cap
- $2.2B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.45% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.95% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.00% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +17.2pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 22.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +4.3% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.04 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.2B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 14.9% |
| Book / Price | 32.3% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 65.8% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 16.6% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.57 |
| Quality Score | 3/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +2.1% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $44.84 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $44.89 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 19.3% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.0B |
| Market Cap | $3B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -4.0% ⚠ | -0.48 | +0.95 | 74.9% | — |
| 42d | -5.7% ⚠ | -0.34 | +1.02 | 73.9% | — |
| 63d | -5.3% ⚠ | +0.04 | +1.21 | 80.5% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $51.85 | 31% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | $150.69 | 9% | median 60.0× · 9 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $117.76 | 9% | median 39.2× · 10 peers |
| Peer P/B | $148.69 | 9% | median 10.1× · 10 peers |
| Peer P/S | $177.02 | 9% | median 9.6× · 10 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $44.84 | 33% | stability 54% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (7372)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $2.2B
Alarm.com Holdings Inc has a cloud-based platform that offers an expansive suite of IoT solutions addressing world-wide opportunities in the residential, multi-family, small business and enterprise commercial markets. It has two reportable segments: Alarm.com & Other. The Alarm.com segment represents the cloud-based Software platforms for intelligently connected property & related solutions. The other segment is focused on researching, developing & offering residential & commercial automation solutions & energy management products & services in adjacent markets. The majority of revenue is from…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -3.14% | 6 |
| Feb | -1.76% | 6 |
| Mar | -1.81% | 6 |
| Apr | -2.58% | 6 |
| May | +1.30% | 6 |
| Jun | -0.27% | 6 |
| Jul | +4.32% | 5 |
| Aug | -2.86% | 5 |
| Sep | -3.67% | 5 |
| Oct | -3.33% | 5 |
| Nov | +2.99% | 5 |
| Dec | +2.75% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-08 | After-Close | 10.07% | 2.65% | 0.26x | Within |
| 2024-11-07 | After-Close | 10.17% | 2.49% | 0.24x | Within |
| 2025-02-20 | After-Close | 8.62% | 2.22% | 0.26x | Within |
| 2025-05-08 | After-Close | 6.52% | 1.36% | 0.21x | Within |
| 2025-08-07 | After-Close | 8.28% | 0.13% | 0.02x | Within |
| 2025-11-06 | Pre-Market | 9.23% | 1.17% | 0.13x | Within |
| 2026-02-19 | Pre-Market | 7.24% | 0.23% | 0.03x | Within |
| 2026-05-07 | After-Close | 6.76% | 1.28% | 0.19x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 4.23
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 40.7%
- Straddle (30D)
- $3.38
- Straddle (7D)
- $2.65
- P/C Volume
- 135.00
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.84
- Correlation (SPY)
- 34.7%
- R²
- 0.12
- Ann. Volatility
- 30.1%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian | $3.24M | 74.33% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.03M | 23.59% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | Walleye Capital LLC | $90.70K | 2.08% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ Custodian | $4.32M | 56.59% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian | $3.24M | 42.44% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | Walleye Capital LLC | $64.78K | 0.85% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $8.64K | 0.11% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Daniel Ramos | See Remarks | Sell (S) | −10,000 | $46.28 | -$462.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-12 | Kevin Christopher Bradley | Chief Financial Officer | Sell (S) | −2,200 | $46.15 | -$101.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-08 | Simone WU | Director | Award (A) | +3,222 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-08 | Stephen C. Evans | Director | Award (A) | +3,222 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-08 | Timothy P McAdam | Director | Award (A) | +3,222 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-08 | Cecile Burleigh Harper | Director | Award (A) | +3,222 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-08 | DARIUS G NEVIN | Director | Award (A) | +3,222 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-08 | Timothy J. Whall | Director | Award (A) | +3,222 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-08 | Donald E Clarke | Director | Award (A) | +3,222 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-28 | Daniel Kerzner | See Remarks | Sell (S) | −3,944 | $43.78 | -$172.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-28 | Daniel Ramos | See Remarks | Sell (S) | −2,532 | $43.78 | -$110.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-28 | Stephen Trundle | Chief Executive Officer | Sell (S) | −6,073 | $43.78 | -$265.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-20 | Daniel Kerzner | See Remarks | Sell (S) | −1,915 | $43.56 | -$83.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-20 | Stephen Trundle | Chief Executive Officer | Sell (S) | −2,944 | $43.56 | -$128.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-20 | Daniel Ramos | See Remarks | Sell (S) | −1,561 | $43.56 | -$68.0K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABS Partners V LLC | 10%+ Owner | 15,018,912 | $691.02M | -$57.87M | 1 | 2015-07-02 |
| 2 | ABS Capital Partners V Offshore, LP | 10%+ Owner | 13,670,742 | $628.99M | -$34.18M | 1 | 2015-07-09 |
| 3 | RALPH S TERKOWITZ | Director | 12,884,619 | $592.82M | -$18.41M | 2 | 2015-07-09 |
| 4 | TCV Member Fund, L.P. | 10%+ Owner | 5,814,426 | $267.52M | $46.30M | 1 | 2015-07-02 |
| 5 | ABS Capital Partners, Inc. | 10%+ Owner | 5,337,646 | $245.59M | $0 | 3 | 2017-03-23 |
| 6 | ABS Capital Partners V Trust | 10%+ Owner | 3,337,646 | $153.57M | $0 | 2 | 2017-05-10 |
| 7 | Stephen Trundle | Chief Executive Officer | 1,640,185 | $75.46M | -$81.67M | 56 | 2026-05-28 |
| 8 | JEFFREY A BEDELL | See Remarks | 528,532 | $24.32M | -$9.01M | 26 | 2025-12-18 |
| 9 | RICK KIMBALL | Director | 268,649 | $12.36M | $30.06M | 4 | 2020-03-05 |
| 10 | JON Q JR REYNOLDS | 10%+ Owner | 142,201 | $6.54M | -$69.87M | 3 | 2020-03-09 |
| 11 | Robert Trudeau | Director | 128,931 | $5.93M | $0 | 2 | 2018-06-11 |
| 12 | David Hutz | Chief Systems Architect | 107,522 | $4.95M | -$5.49M | 30 | 2019-04-03 |
| 13 | Timothy P McAdam | Director | 103,838 | $4.78M | -$11.11M | 16 | 2026-06-08 |
| 14 | Daniel Kerzner | See Remarks | 101,141 | $4.65M | -$18.68M | 41 | 2026-05-28 |
| 15 | Jean-Paul Martin | Chief Technology Officer | 86,197 | $3.97M | -$21.36M | 25 | 2019-06-14 |
| 16 | Kevin Christopher Bradley | Chief Financial Officer | 84,346 | $3.88M | -$236.9K | 6 | 2026-06-12 |
| 17 | MAYO A III SHATTUCK | Director | 67,317 | $3.10M | -$945.9K | 13 | 2020-09-30 |
| 18 | Daniel Ramos | See Remarks | 53,099 | $2.44M | -$24.01M | 48 | 2026-06-12 |
| 19 | Jay C Hoag | 10%+ Owner | 51,348 | $2.36M | $0 | 1 | 2018-09-06 |
| 20 | TCV VII LP | 10%+ Owner | 46,525 | $2.14M | -$25.87M | 1 | 2017-09-06 |
| 21 | Steve Valenzuela | Chief Financial Officer | 37,500 | $1.73M | -$11.24M | 56 | 2025-03-14 |
| 22 | Christopher P Marshall | 10%+ Owner | 35,223 | $1.62M | -$857.2K | 1 | 2020-03-18 |
| 23 | DARIUS G NEVIN | Director | 30,097 | $1.38M | -$1.48M | 12 | 2026-06-08 |
| 24 | Technology Crossover Management VII, L.P. | 10%+ Owner | 26,195 | $1.21M | -$2.64B | 1 | 2020-05-22 |
| 25 | Donald E Clarke | Director | 20,074 | $923.6K | -$2.26M | 14 | 2026-06-08 |
| 26 | Allan Jon Gollinger | Principal Accounting Officer | 19,135 | $880.4K | -$98.1K | 2 | 2016-12-20 |
| 27 | Simone WU | Director | 15,855 | $729.5K | -$219.4K | 7 | 2026-06-08 |
| 28 | Timothy J. Whall | Director | 14,404 | $662.7K | $0 | 6 | 2026-06-08 |
| 29 | Stephen C. Evans | Director | 9,345 | $430.0K | -$350.7K | 10 | 2026-06-08 |
| 30 | Cecile Burleigh Harper | Director | 8,036 | $369.7K | $0 | 3 | 2026-06-08 |
| 31 | Michelle K. Lee | Director | 7,815 | $359.6K | $0 | 2 | 2019-06-10 |
| 32 | HUGH PANERO | Director | 2,593 | $119.3K | -$4.76M | 12 | 2020-11-12 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 19.1 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.7 |
| P/S Ratio | 2.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.7 |
| TTM Revenue | $1.0B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $2.41 |
| ROE | 14.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.57 |