CAT · Expected Move

Caterpillar Inc.

The expected move for CAT is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

CAT straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current CAT Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$77.35
7-Day Straddle
$56.70
30-Day ATM IV
45.8%
IV Rank
53%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to CAT's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
CAT Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $77.35 $56.70 45.8% 53%
20261020 $77.78 $57.35 46.7% 57%
20261019 $78.47 $27.55 46.4% 56%
20261016 $78.45 $33.88 48.2% 64%
20261015 $77.95 $35.20 46.8% 57%
20261014 $81.05 $40.15 47.3% 60%
20261013 $80.15 $39.33 45.6% 52%
20261012 $83.45 $26.23 44.7% 48%
20261009 $78.30 $29.27 44.0% 45%
20261008 $82.47 $34.12 45.7% 53%
20261007 $82.45 $35.85 44.5% 47%
20261006 $89.28 $40.38 44.3% 46%
20261005 $88.53 $28.65 44.1% 45%
20261002 $81.53 $31.72 44.2% 46%
20261001 $83.25 $34.33 44.7% 48%
20260930 $82.05 $34.55 44.3% 46%
20260929 $87.45 $41.28 44.6% 47%
20260928 $87.97 $28.05 43.6% 43%
20260925 $62.00 $30.42 37.3% 14%
20260924 $61.83 $32.83 35.8% 7%
20260923 $66.12 $37.50 35.5% 6%
20260922 $67.15 $39.42 35.4% 5%
20260921 $66.85 $25.42 35.1% 4%
20260918 $61.40 $29.73 34.2% 0%
20260917 $63.40 $31.40 35.2% 3%
20260916 $67.50 $38.97 37.0% 11%
20260915 $65.55 $39.88 35.7% 5%
20260914 $65.85 $25.45 35.7% 5%
20260911 $65.10 $29.70 35.3% 3%
20260910 $65.72 $33.80 36.3% 8%
20260909 $69.12 $38.60 37.3% 13%
20260908 $71.47 $43.75 37.4% 13%
20260904 $65.03 $30.38 35.9% 6%
20260903 $65.53 $33.52 36.4% 8%
20260902 $63.67 $34.23 35.6% 5%
20260901 $65.30 $36.67 36.1% 7%
20260831 $66.12 $23.38 34.6% 0%
20260828 $61.60 $29.25 35.0% 1%
20260827 $65.85 $34.15 36.0% 6%
20260826 $68.42 $40.25 36.8% 9%
20260825 $71.72 $41.38 38.0% 15%
20260824 $69.70 $28.98 36.6% 8%
20260821 $67.12 $33.77 37.0% 10%
20260820 $66.65 $34.97 35.9% 5%
20260819 $69.58 $39.08 36.9% 10%
20260818 $74.20 $43.95 38.1% 15%
20260817 $77.58 $30.02 37.5% 13%
20260814 $69.90 $33.67 37.2% 11%
20260813 $72.15 $37.70 37.8% 14%
20260812 $74.53 $42.55 38.3% 16%
20260811 $74.43 $42.95 38.2% 16%
20260810 $79.28 $30.02 40.1% 25%
20260807 — — 40.7% 28%
20260806 $85.85 $48.78 43.8% 42%
20260805 $88.53 $51.42 44.6% 46%
20260804 $95.30 $58.30 46.7% 56%
20260803 $100.32 $62.17 52.0% 81%
20260731 $91.75 $60.83 50.9% 76%
20260730 $96.17 $66.78 52.8% 84%
20260729 $96.72 $69.28 54.1% 91%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.