CSAN Cosan S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing four Common Shares)
XNYSStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- RETAIL-AUTO DEALERS & GASOLINE STATIONS (5500)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $2.7B
- Employees
- 12,787
- List Date
- 2021-03-08
- CIK
- 0001430162
- Homepage
- https://www.cosan.com.br
Cosan SA engages in several services throughout the energy and logistics sectors. Its reportable segments are Raizen, Compass, Moove, Rumo, and Radar. It generates the majority of its revenue from Raizen which operates in the production, commercialization, origination, and trading of ethanol, bioenergy, resale, and trading of electricity, renewable sources, marketing, origination, and trading of sugar and fuels, and lubricant.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | 19.45% | 14.82% | -5.13% | 0.94% | 15.27% | 9.07% |
| Feb | -- | -8.83% | -11.99% | -9.08% | -11.42% | 12.73% | -5.72% |
| Mar | 0.12% | 18.56% | 4.14% | -4.78% | 9.89% | -14.17% | 2.29% |
| Apr | 1.93% | -16.48% | -0.08% | -11.28% | 4.98% | -4.50% | -4.24% |
| May | 0.42% | 13.93% | 0.51% | -6.26% | 8.97% | -25.56% | -1.33% |
| Jun | 2.42% | -22.69% | 21.90% | -6.44% | -10.78% | -5.88% | -3.58% |
| Jul | 3.42% | 7.84% | 9.74% | -2.08% | -19.12% | 13.78% | 2.26% |
| Aug | -14.31% | 5.32% | -14.24% | 4.51% | 2.88% | -8.67% | -4.08% |
| Sep | -3.46% | -14.19% | -6.21% | 3.02% | 0.44% | -8.03% | -4.74% |
| Oct | -20.24% | -9.65% | -3.69% | -16.79% | 0.44% | --* | -9.99% |
| Nov | 6.14% | 1.54% | 9.08% | -15.36% | 6.30% | -- | 1.54% |
| Dec | 5.45% | -2.03% | 7.33% | -17.20% | -19.55% | -- | -5.20% |
| Total | -19.84% | -16.80% | 28.23% | -60.71% | -28.01% | -28.68% | -20.97% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: CSAN
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (confidence level 6/10)
Key Drivers:
- Technical indicators suggest a range-bound market with oversold momentum signals.
- Recent news headlines have been neutral, providing no significant catalysts.
Primary Risks:
- High volatility may lead to increased risk and market fluctuations.
- No earnings data available, making it challenging to assess fundamental performance.
Investment Thesis: The stock is currently trading in a consolidation phase, with oversold momentum signals indicating potential for a near-term bounce. However, the high volatility and lack of earnings data create uncertainty around the stock's future direction.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Neutral news headlines have not significantly impacted the stock price, suggesting that market participants are waiting for catalysts to drive the stock forward.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Neutral, with oversold momentum signals indicating potential for a near-term bounce.
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Range-bound, with no clear trend emerging.
- Long-term (3-12 months): Bearish, given the high volatility and lack of earnings data.
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20: $3.07
- SMA 50: $2.94
- Upper Bollinger Band: $3.28
Momentum Signals: RSI (14) is oversold at 33.75, indicating potential for a near-term bounce. MACD is bullish, with a histogram of 0.02.
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 948572.30
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): -20243827.68
- Volume Rate of Change: 112.23%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Neutral news headlines have focused on general market commentary and routine announcements, providing no significant catalysts.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment dominates, with no clear bullish or bearish signals emerging.
Catalyst Identification: No near-term earnings reports or regulatory changes are scheduled, leaving the stock's direction uncertain.
Market Narrative: The technical indicators suggest a range-bound market, while the neutral news headlines have not significantly impacted the stock price. This lack of clarity creates uncertainty around the stock's future direction.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk relative to the market, with a beta of 1.31.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is high, with a historical volatility of HV20 51.7%.
Options Market Signals: No options data available for analysis.
Downside Protection: Support levels include SMA 20 ($3.07) and SMA 50 ($2.94). Risk management considerations suggest setting stop-loss levels around $2.40 to limit potential losses.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Neutral, with the energy sector trading in line with the broader market.
Institutional Activity: No clear institutional interest signals are present, as volume trends and participation metrics are mixed.
Correlation Analysis: The stock has a low correlation coefficient (0.30) with the SPY, indicating it may be more volatile than the broader market.
Relative Valuation: Positioning is neutral within its trading range, with no clear value or momentum signals emerging.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20 ($3.07)
- Upper Bollinger Band ($3.28)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: No clear levels are present, as the stock is currently trading in a range-bound market.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No near-term earnings reports or regulatory changes are scheduled, leaving the stock's direction uncertain.
Risk Management:
- Set stop-loss levels around $2.40 to limit potential losses.
- Monitor volume trends and institutional interest signals for changes in participation metrics.
- Consider adjusting position sizing based on market conditions and risk tolerance.
CSAN Options Activity & IV Rank
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 236
Period: 252 trading days
High volatility - stock moves more than market
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $8.1M | #1176 of 3138 | -26.5% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $778K | #3992 of 6285 | -30.8% | 13F | |
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $341K | #3315 of 3717 | -30.9% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
CSAN Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
CSAN Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-09-15| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Burkhard Otto Cordes | Director | Buy (P) | +159,000 | $4.38 | $696.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-15 | Rafael Bergman | Other (J) | 55,242 (reclass) | — | EDGAR | ||
| 2026-09-15 | Maria Rita de Carvalho Drummond | Other (J) | 150,496 (reclass) | — | EDGAR | ||
| 2026-08-12 | Maria Rita de Carvalho Drummond | Chief Legal Officer | Other (J) | 103,765 (reclass) | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Marcelo Eduardo Martins | Chief Executive Officer | Other (J) | 276,475 (reclass) | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-26 | Rubens Ometto Silveira Mello | Director | Sell (S) | −77,640 | $3.44 | -$267.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-21 | Maria Rita de Carvalho Drummond | Chief Legal Officer | Mixed | −109,400 | $5.20 | -$602.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-21 | Marcelo Eduardo Martins | Chief Executive Officer | Mixed | +46,575 | $5.89 | $328.3K | EDGAR |
CSAN Insider Holdings
5 insiders · @ $2.75| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rubens Ometto Silveira Mello | Director | 712,702,674 | $1.96B | -$267.1K | 1 | 2026-05-26 |
| 2 | Burkhard Otto Cordes | Director | 2,366,610 | $6.51M | $696.0K | 1 | 2026-09-15 |
| 3 | Marcelo Eduardo Martins | Chief Executive Officer | 2,074,530 | $5.70M | $23.82M | 2 | 2026-08-12 |
| 4 | Maria Rita de Carvalho Drummond | Chief Legal Officer | 672,888 | $1.85M | -$602.8K | 3 | 2026-09-15 |
| 5 | Rafael Bergman | 272,714 | $750.0K | $0 | 1 | 2026-09-15 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.