MAX · Expected Move

MediaAlpha, Inc.

The expected move for MAX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

MAX straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current MAX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.77
7-Day Straddle
$1.77
30-Day ATM IV
63.0%
IV Rank
25%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MAX's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
MAX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261102 $1.77 $1.77 63.0% 25%
20261030 $1.83 $1.83 62.5% 24%
20261029 $1.95 $1.95 65.0% 28%
20261028 $1.77 $1.77 73.1% 39%
20261027 $2.00 $2.00 72.8% 39%
20261026 $1.98 $1.98 73.4% 39%
20261023 $2.03 $2.03 73.4% 39%
20261022 $1.95 $1.95 71.1% 36%
20261021 $1.88 $1.88 80.4% 49%
20261020 $2.05 $2.05 71.2% 36%
20261019 $2.05 $2.05 70.7% 35%
20261016 $2.45 $1.25 76.6% 43%
20261015 $2.48 $1.68 — —
20261014 $1.90 $0.95 — —
20261013 $1.90 $0.78 — —
20261012 $1.68 $0.75 — —
20261009 $1.75 $0.88 66.3% 24%
20261008 $1.85 $0.98 79.4% 40%
20261007 $1.70 $0.90 71.8% 31%
20261006 $1.65 $1.35 68.3% 27%
20261005 $1.77 $1.05 65.6% 23%
20261002 $1.07 $1.07 66.4% 24%
20261001 $1.43 $1.43 66.2% 24%
20260930 $2.03 $2.03 64.2% 21%
20260929 $1.40 $1.40 66.4% 24%
20260928 $1.45 $1.45 70.2% 28%
20260925 $1.30 $1.30 65.6% 23%
20260924 $1.38 $1.38 66.4% 24%
20260923 $2.22 $2.22 101.9% 63%
20260922 $1.98 $1.98 85.7% 45%
20260921 $1.38 $1.38 — —
20260918 $3.58 $1.18 — —
20260917 $1.88 $1.98 74.7% 33%
20260916 $1.92 $1.38 78.6% 37%
20260915 $1.75 $1.45 66.9% 24%
20260914 $1.80 $1.30 73.5% 32%
20260911 $1.70 $1.20 66.2% 23%
20260910 $2.05 $1.48 69.1% 27%
20260909 $1.77 $1.67 62.3% 19%
20260908 $2.60 $1.82 — —
20260904 $1.95 $1.20 61.4% 18%
20260903 $1.93 $1.60 62.5% 19%
20260902 $1.23 $1.23 66.1% 23%
20260901 $1.45 $1.45 67.6% 25%
20260831 $1.25 $1.25 55.0% 11%
20260828 $1.62 $1.62 70.4% 28%
20260827 $1.48 $1.48 65.6% 23%
20260826 $1.88 $1.88 67.6% 25%
20260825 $1.30 $1.30 52.2% 8%
20260824 $1.40 $1.40 — —
20260821 $1.27 $0.65 45.2% 0%
20260820 $1.60 $1.60 71.7% 24%
20260819 $1.78 $1.60 60.6% 10%
20260818 $1.70 $0.88 — —
20260817 $1.67 $1.57 56.4% 5%
20260814 $2.10 $1.30 62.0% 12%
20260813 $2.00 $1.32 61.1% 11%
20260812 $1.80 $1.05 57.4% 6%
20260811 $2.08 $1.23 55.9% 5%
20260810 $2.35 $1.43 62.0% 12%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.