MOS The Mosaic Company
XNYS
17.46
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $16.99 – $32.25
- YTD
- -30.20%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 98.0
- Straddle Price
- $2.12
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 2.74
- Market Cap
- $5.5B
- Open
- $17.23
- Day Range
- $17.10 – $17.60
- Volume
- 8,269,764
- Prev Close
- $17.27
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.12% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.90 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.63% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 7.69% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +39.8pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -10.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-0.9B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -5.6% |
| Book / Price | 211.6% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 11.0% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | -7.7% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.41 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $22.50 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $19.91 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 171.1% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $4.5B |
| Market Cap | $5B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $5.04 | 17% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 20.8× · 5 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $36.63 | 7% | median 9.9× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/B | $119.85 | 9% | median 3.3× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/S | $76.93 | 9% | median 2.0× · 6 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $22.50 | 37% | stability 85% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $17.27 | 22% | 25 strikes · skew +0.07 |
- Industry (SIC)
- AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS (2870) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $5.5B
- Employees
- 13,249
- List Date
- 1988-01-26
- CIK
- 0001285785
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-03 (After-Close)
- EPS Forecast
- $0.01 (5 est.)
- Headquarters
- Tampa, FL
- Homepage
- https://www.mosaicco.com
Mosaic is one of the largest phosphate and potash producers in the world. The company's assets include phosphate rock mines in the US and potash mines in Canada. Mosaic also runs a large fertilizer distribution operation in Brazil through its Mosaic Fertilizantes business.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 9.67% | -0.60% | 16.21% | -15.82% | 14.40% | 9.91% | 5.63% |
| Feb | 9.46% | 20.28% | 6.68% | 0.94% | -11.60% | 2.09% | 4.64% |
| Mar | 2.93% | 28.21% | -15.44% | 2.62% | 15.77% | -7.31% | 4.46% |
| Apr | 12.54% | -5.25% | -7.97% | -3.21% | 13.43% | -12.32% | -0.46% |
| May | 3.17% | 0.40% | -26.68% | 3.34% | 18.61% | 3.24% | 0.35% |
| Jun | -15.02% | -19.53% | 10.38% | -5.52% | -0.84% | -9.17% | -6.62% |
| Jul | -1.76% | 12.23% | 14.05% | 6.47% | -2.09% | 4.88% | 5.63% |
| Aug | 7.55% | 4.83% | -3.43% | -1.00% | -5.44% | 10.59% | 2.18% |
| Sep | 12.29% | -8.54% | -10.66% | -2.44% | 4.30% | -12.63% | -2.95% |
| Oct | 9.97% | 8.72% | -7.25% | -1.07% | -18.84% | -19.19%* | -4.61% |
| Nov | -17.46% | -5.79% | 11.15% | -1.60% | -10.16% | -- | -4.77% |
| Dec | 16.86% | -10.65% | -3.17% | -10.88% | -3.49% | -- | -2.27% |
| Total | 53.43% | 15.55% | -23.31% | -26.49% | 6.14% | -29.97% | -0.77% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report - Mosaic (MOS)
Executive Summary
Overall assessment: NEUTRAL with confidence level 6/10
Key drivers:
- Bullish MACD crossover signal
- Historical volatility is relatively low compared to the market
- Recent news sentiment is mixed, but trending positive
Primary risks:
- Risk of further price decline if earnings miss expectations or sector performance weakens
- High implied volatility may lead to increased options trading activity and potential price movements
Investment thesis: MOS has a neutral technical setup with a bullish MACD signal. While the company's recent news sentiment is mixed, the options market is pricing in a relatively high probability of further price increases. However, this assessment comes with a moderate confidence level due to the recent negative earnings surprise.
Recent news sentiment impact: The recent positive news headlines related to agricultural demand and market growth have contributed to the stock's upward momentum. This has been accompanied by increased trading activity in options markets, particularly among calls.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Medium-term uptrend
Support/Resistance Levels: Key price levels from moving averages:
- SMA 20: $23.54 (support)
- SMA 50: $22.72 (support)
- Upper Bollinger Band: $26.32 (resistance)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (67.09) - no strong buy or sell signal
- MACD signal: Bullish crossover above signal line
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze - price near the upper band, indicating a potential break higher
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headlines highlight agricultural demand growth and market trends, which have contributed to MOS's upward momentum.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment is neutral with a slight positive bias.
Catalyst Identification: Upcoming earnings announcements may serve as a catalyst for price movements. Historical volatility is relatively low, which could indicate a calm period before potential price movements.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: MOS has a relatively low beta (0.76) compared to the market, indicating less volatility and a more stable performance.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility levels are lower than historical averages, suggesting a calm period for the stock.
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: 19.1% (Low)
- Put/Call Volume Ratio: 1.89 (Bearish sentiment)
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: The agricultural sector has been performing relatively well, which could support MOS's price movements.
Institutional Activity: Institutional investors have shown increased interest in the options market, particularly among calls, indicating potential buying pressure.
Correlation Analysis: MOS has a low correlation with the broader market (R-squared interpretation), suggesting that its price movements may not be strongly influenced by market trends.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20: $23.54 (support)
- Upper Bollinger Band: $26.32 (resistance)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: A break above the upper Bollinger Band could indicate a potential breakout, while a breakdown below the SMA 50 could signal a reversal.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Upcoming earnings announcements and sector performance may serve as catalysts for price movements.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels should be set at around $23.50 to limit potential losses in case of a decline. Position sizing considerations suggest a moderate allocation, given the relatively low beta and historical volatility.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-17 | After-Close | 7.85% | 9.14% | 1.16x | Exceeded |
| 2021-05-03 | After-Close | 7.48% | 2.00% | 0.27x | Within |
| 2021-08-02 | After-Close | 7.39% | 4.75% | 0.64x | Within |
| 2021-11-01 | After-Close | 7.16% | 9.21% | 1.29x | Exceeded |
| 2022-02-22 | After-Close | 7.97% | 2.29% | 0.29x | Within |
| 2022-05-02 | After-Close | 9.78% | 8.70% | 0.89x | Within |
| 2022-08-01 | After-Close | 7.24% | 1.62% | 0.22x | Within |
| 2022-11-07 | After-Close | 7.51% | 5.95% | 0.79x | Within |
| 2023-02-22 | After-Close | 5.76% | 2.59% | 0.45x | Within |
| 2023-05-03 | After-Close | 4.88% | 9.98% | 2.05x | Exceeded |
| 2023-08-01 | After-Close | 5.77% | 1.24% | 0.21x | Within |
| 2023-11-07 | After-Close | 5.29% | 2.63% | 0.50x | Within |
| 2024-02-21 | After-Close | 5.49% | 6.58% | 1.20x | Exceeded |
| 2024-05-01 | After-Close | 4.84% | 5.08% | 1.05x | Exceeded |
| 2024-08-06 | After-Close | 6.43% | 1.44% | 0.22x | Within |
| 2024-11-12 | After-Close | 3.23% | 1.01% | 0.31x | Within |
| 2025-02-27 | After-Close | 5.42% | 4.66% | 0.86x | Within |
| 2025-08-05 | After-Close | 5.49% | 13.31% | 2.42x | Exceeded |
| 2025-11-04 | After-Close | 6.67% | 1.24% | 0.19x | Within |
| 2026-02-24 | After-Close | 10.69% | 5.30% | 0.50x | Within |
| 2026-05-11 | After-Close | 5.16% | 2.75% | 0.53x | Within |
| 2026-08-04 | After-Close | 7.93% | 3.08% | 0.39x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
MOS Options Activity & IV Rank
MOS IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 18th percentile of this name's own daily history, near the low end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $139.7M | #226 of 3716 | +2767.2% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $20.7M | #1127 of 6285 | -68.1% | 13F | |
| Point72 Hedge fund Steve Cohen | $15.1M | #648 of 1945 | new | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $1.4M | #1547 of 4729 | +9.6% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
MOS Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $49.72M | 17.82% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $43.51M | 15.60% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Rokos Capital Management LLP | $43.45M | 15.58% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $27.10M | 9.72% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $21.15M | 7.58% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Citigroup Inc. Custodian | $19.83M | 7.11% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $8.98M | 3.22% | 2025-09-30 |
| 8 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $8.68M | 3.11% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Lloyd Harbor Capital Management, LLC | $7.95M | 2.85% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $7.17M | 2.57% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | HSBC Holdings plc Custodian | $6.11M | 2.19% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $5.30M | 1.90% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Soviero Asset Management, LP | $5.03M | 1.80% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | Walleye Capital LLC | $4.48M | 1.60% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Walleye Trading LLC | $4.25M | 1.52% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | PEAK6 LLC | $2.47M | 0.89% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $2.14M | 0.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $2.07M | 0.74% | 2025-09-30 |
| 19 | Graham Capital Management, L.P. | $1.91M | 0.68% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian | $1.70M | 0.61% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | $1.22M | 0.44% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | BANQUE PICTET & CIE SA | $1.08M | 0.39% | 2026-09-30 |
| 23 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $1.01M | 0.36% | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | Crawford Fund Management, LLC | $784.03K | 0.28% | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A. | $595.44K | 0.21% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $87.17M | 30.94% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $53.27M | 18.91% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $47.29M | 16.78% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $20.97M | 7.44% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | UBS Group AG Custodian | $10.93M | 3.88% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $9.62M | 3.41% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $8.15M | 2.89% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $7.83M | 2.78% | 2025-09-30 |
| 9 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $6.37M | 2.26% | 2025-09-30 |
| 10 | Walleye Trading LLC | $5.30M | 1.88% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $2.94M | 1.04% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Walleye Capital LLC | $2.82M | 1.00% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Caption Management, LLC | $2.65M | 0.94% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $2.35M | 0.83% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $2.13M | 0.76% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | Citigroup Inc. Custodian | $2.12M | 0.75% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | CREDIT INDUSTRIEL ET COMMERCIAL | $2.12M | 0.75% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian | $2.10M | 0.75% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | $1.38M | 0.49% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A. | $1.01M | 0.36% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | Limestone Investment Advisors LP | $741.65K | 0.26% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | Calamos Wealth Management LLC | $711.45K | 0.25% | 2026-06-30 |
| 23 | CAPSTONE INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC | $464.06K | 0.16% | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | $432.28K | 0.15% | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | PEAK6 LLC | $402.61K | 0.14% | 2026-06-30 |
MOS Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-10-02| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Sonya C Little | Director | Award (A) | +65 | $24.73 | $1.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-21 | Walter F. Precourt III | SVP - Chief Admin Officer | Sell (S) | −23,000 | $22.12 | -$508.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-01 | Kelvin R Westbrook | Director | Exer (M) | +2,437 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Sonya C Little | Director | Exer (M) | +4,873 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Gregory L Ebel | Director | Exer (M) | +7,310 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | David Thomas Seaton | Director | Exer (M) | +3,167 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Cheryl K Beebe | Director | Exer (M) | +2,437 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Joao Roberto Goncalves Teixeira | Director | Exer (M) | +4,873 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Emery N. Koenig | Director | Exer (M) | +4,873 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Gretchen H Watkins | Director | Exer (M) | +4,873 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Timothy S. Gitzel | Director | Exer (M) | +4,873 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Kathleen M Shanahan | Director | Exer (M) | +4,873 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-01 | Jody Lynne Kuzenko | Director | Exer (M) | +4,873 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-11 | Russell A Flugel | Principal Accounting Officer | Mixed | +3,161 | $26.92 | -$64.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-11 | Karen A Swager | EVP - Operations | Mixed | +11,232 | $26.92 | -$163.9K | EDGAR |
MOS Insider Holdings
18 insiders · @ $17.41| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen A Swager | EVP - Operations | 175,598 | $3.06M | $0 | 18 | 2026-03-11 |
| 2 | Walter F. Precourt III | SVP - Chief Admin Officer | 116,198 | $2.02M | -$6.51M | 32 | 2026-08-21 |
| 3 | Emery N. Koenig | Director | 86,228 | $1.50M | $417.6K | 34 | 2026-06-01 |
| 4 | Timothy S. Gitzel | Director | 79,527 | $1.38M | $233.5K | 25 | 2026-06-01 |
| 5 | Yijun Wang | EVP-Commercial | 64,019 | $1.11M | $0 | 13 | 2026-03-11 |
| 6 | Gregory L Ebel | Director | 56,486 | $983.7K | $2.82M | 32 | 2026-06-01 |
| 7 | David Thomas Seaton | Director | 51,089 | $889.7K | $0 | 32 | 2026-06-01 |
| 8 | Cheryl K Beebe | Director | 46,691 | $813.1K | $249.7K | 12 | 2026-06-01 |
| 9 | Kelvin R Westbrook | Director | 39,807 | $693.2K | -$312.9K | 19 | 2026-06-01 |
| 10 | Philip Eugene Bauer | Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec | 35,991 | $626.8K | $0 | 9 | 2026-03-11 |
MOS Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Oct 2, 2026Directors 12
- David Thomas Seaton · since Apr 15, 2009
- Emery N. Koenig · since Oct 7, 2010
- Gregory L Ebel · since Oct 4, 2012
- Timothy S. Gitzel · since Oct 3, 2013
- Kelvin R Westbrook · since Aug 24, 2016
- Cheryl K Beebe · since May 23, 2019
- Gretchen H Watkins · since May 21, 2020
- Joao Roberto Goncalves Teixeira · since Nov 1, 2022
- Jody Lynne Kuzenko · since Jan 1, 2024
- Bruce M. Bodine · listed since Feb 2024
- Kathleen M Shanahan · since Jan 13, 2025
- Sonya C Little · since Jan 13, 2025
Officers 7
- Bruce M. Bodine · President and CEO · listed since Feb 2024
- Luciano Siani Pires · EVP and CFO · listed since Mar 2025
- Walter F. Precourt III · SVP - Chief Admin Officer · listed since Mar 2024
- Karen A Swager · EVP - Operations · listed since Nov 2023
- Yijun Wang · EVP-Commercial · listed since Jan 2024
- Russell A Flugel · Principal Accounting Officer · since Sep 1, 2022
- Philip Eugene Bauer · Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec · since Jan 3, 2023
Changes in the last 10 years (47)
| Mar 5, 2025 | Luciano Siani Pires listed as EVP and CFO (previously EVP and CFO - Designate) in SEC filings |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Sonya C Little became a director |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Kathleen M Shanahan became a director |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Luciano Siani Pires first listed as EVP and CFO - Designate in an SEC filing |
| Nov 8, 2024 | The company announced the departure of Clint Freeland as EVP & Chief Financial Officer in an SEC filing |
| Aug 22, 2024 | The company announced the departure of Corrine D. Ricard as Sr VP - Mosaic Fertilizantes in an SEC filing |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Walter F. Precourt III listed as SVP - Chief Admin Officer (previously Senior VP - Strategy & Growth) in SEC filings |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Bruce M. Bodine listed as President and CEO (previously Senior VP - North America) in SEC filings |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Bruce M. Bodine first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Jan 4, 2024 | Yijun Wang listed as EVP-Commercial (previously SVP-Global Strategic Marketing) in SEC filings |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Jody Lynne Kuzenko became a director |
| Dec 15, 2023 | The company announced the departure of Denise C Johnson from the board in an SEC filing |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Karen A Swager listed as EVP - Operations (previously Senior VP - Supply Chain) in SEC filings |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Clint Freeland listed as EVP & Chief Financial Officer (previously SVP & Chief Financial Officer) in SEC filings |
| Sep 27, 2023 | James Calvin O'Rourke listed as CEO (previously President & CEO) in SEC filings |
| Mar 7, 2023 | Yijun Wang first listed as SVP-Global Strategic Marketing in an SEC filing |
| Jan 3, 2023 | Philip Eugene Bauer became Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Joao Roberto Goncalves Teixeira became a director |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Russell A Flugel became Principal Accounting Officer |
| Aug 17, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Luciano Siani Pires from the board in an SEC filing |
| Mar 4, 2022 | Yijun Wang no longer listed as SVP-Global Strategic Marketing in SEC filings |
| Jan 1, 2022 | Yijun Wang became SVP-Global Strategic Marketing |
| Nov 10, 2021 | Vale S.A. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a director |
| Nov 10, 2021 | Vale Fertilizer Netherlands B.V. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a director |
| Mar 8, 2021 | Karen A Swager listed as Senior VP - Supply Chain (previously Senior Vice President - Potash) in SEC filings |
| Mar 8, 2021 | Christopher Anthony Lewis listed as Sr VP - Human Resources (previously SVP - Human Resources) in SEC filings |
| Mar 8, 2021 | Bruce M. Bodine listed as Senior VP - North America (previously Senior VP - Phosphates) in SEC filings |
| Mar 8, 2021 | Benjamin James Pratt listed as Sr VP - Gov. & Public Affairs (previously SVP - Gov. & Public Affairs) in SEC filings |
| May 21, 2020 | Gretchen H Watkins became a director |
| Apr 1, 2020 | Benjamin James Pratt became SVP - Gov. & Public Affairs |
| Mar 9, 2020 | Richard N McLellan listed as Senior VP - Commercial (previously Senior VP-Mosaic Fertilizantes) in SEC filings |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Corrine D. Ricard listed as Sr VP - Mosaic Fertilizantes (previously Senior VP - Commercial) in SEC filings |
| Jun 19, 2019 | Christopher Anthony Lewis became SVP - Human Resources |
| May 23, 2019 | Cheryl K Beebe became a director |
| Mar 5, 2019 | Walter F. Precourt III listed as Senior VP - Strategy & Growth (previously Senior VP - Phosphates) in SEC filings |
| Mar 5, 2019 | Richard N McLellan listed as Senior VP-Mosaic Fertilizantes (previously Sr Vice President-Brazil) in SEC filings |
| Feb 14, 2019 | Bruce M. Bodine listed as Senior VP - Phosphates (previously Senior Vice President - Potash) in SEC filings |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Karen A Swager became Senior Vice President - Potash |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Clint Freeland became SVP & Chief Financial Officer |
| May 10, 2018 | Oscar Bernardes became a director |
| Feb 5, 2018 | Anthony T Brausen listed as Sr VP -Finance and Interim CFO (previously Senior VP -Finance) in SEC filings |
| Jan 8, 2018 | Vale S.A. became a director |
| Jan 8, 2018 | Vale Fertilizer Netherlands B.V. became a director |
| Jan 8, 2018 | Luciano Siani Pires became a director |
| Jul 31, 2017 | Kimberly K Bors became Senior VP - Human Resources |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Richard N McLellan listed as Sr Vice President-Brazil (previously Sr Vice President-Commercial) in SEC filings |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Corrine D. Ricard listed as Senior VP - Commercial (previously Senior VP - Human Resources) in SEC filings |
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Not reported recently (14)
- Steven M Seibert · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 21, 2024
- James Calvin O'Rourke · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Dec 8, 2023
- Benjamin James Pratt · Last reported as Sr VP - Gov. & Public Affairs in an SEC filing dated Apr 4, 2023
- Christopher Anthony Lewis · Last reported as Sr VP - Human Resources in an SEC filing dated Mar 13, 2023
- Mark J. Isaacson · Last reported as SVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec. in an SEC filing dated Apr 19, 2022
- Oscar Bernardes · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 24, 2021
- Nancy E Cooper · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 12, 2021
- Richard N McLellan · Last reported as Senior VP - Commercial in an SEC filing dated Mar 10, 2021
- William T Monahan · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 19, 2020
- Robert L Lumpkins · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 21, 2019
- Kimberly K Bors · Last reported as Senior VP - Human Resources in an SEC filing dated May 15, 2018
- Anthony T Brausen · Last reported as Sr VP -Finance and Interim CFO in an SEC filing dated Mar 12, 2018
- James L. Popowich · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 22, 2017
- Richard L Mack · Last reported as EVP, Chief Financial Officer in an SEC filing dated May 16, 2017
MOS Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-08-19What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Precourt Walter F. III | Officer | 23,000 | $508.6K | 2026-08-19 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-29 | Precourt Walter F. III | Officer | 18,000 | $642.8K | 2025-05-29 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-08 | Bodine Bruce M. | Officer, Director | 180,708 | $5.69M | 2025-05-08 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2024-11-21 | Ricard Corrine D. | Director | 2,793 | $72.5K | 2024-11-21 | Ertmann Foster Knight | — | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-13 | Precourt Walter F. III | Officer | 39,748 | $1.11M | 2024-08-13 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-12 | WESTBROOK KELVIN R | Director | 12,666 | $346.0K | 2024-08-12 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | 0001285785-26-000069 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-11 | 0001285785-26-000063 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-08 | 0001285785-26-000058 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | 0001285785-26-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-16 | 0001285785-26-000007 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-13 | 0001193125-25-280145 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-04 | 0001628280-25-048961 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-10 | 0001285785-25-000071 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-05 | 0001628280-25-037916 | EDGAR |
| 2025-06-02 | 0001285785-25-000042 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | 0001285785-26-000017 | EDGAR |
| 2025-03-03 | 0001618034-25-000003 | EDGAR |
| 2024-02-22 | 0001618034-24-000004 | EDGAR |
| 2023-02-23 | 0001618034-23-000003 | EDGAR |
| 2022-02-23 | 0001618034-22-000004 | EDGAR |
| 2021-02-22 | 0001618034-21-000003 | EDGAR |
| 2020-02-20 | 0001618034-20-000003 | EDGAR |
| 2019-03-13 | 0001618034-19-000004 | EDGAR |
| 2018-02-21 | 0001618034-18-000003 | EDGAR |
| 2017-02-15 | 0001618034-17-000005 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | 0001285785-26-000067 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-05 | 0001628280-25-049494 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-06 | 0001628280-25-038265 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-07 | 0001618034-25-000005 | EDGAR |
| 2024-11-12 | 0001618034-24-000019 | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-07 | 0001618034-24-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2024-05-02 | 0001618034-24-000006 | EDGAR |
| 2023-11-08 | 0001618034-23-000019 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-02 | 0001618034-23-000015 | EDGAR |
| 2023-05-04 | 0001618034-23-000008 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $219.4M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 2 | VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $180.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.09% | $155.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | Invesco | 0.13% | $132.4M | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 5 | VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.16% | $100.8M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 6 | DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.35% | $95.0M | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 7 | SPYD State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 500® High Dividend ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 1.02% | $75.4M | $7.4B | 2026-10-21 |
| 8 | IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $74.7M | $878.4B | 2026-10-21 |
| 9 | SPY State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust | SPDR (State Street) | 0.01% | $69.6M | $820.7B | 2026-10-21 |
| 10 | XLB State Street® Materials Select Sector SPDR® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.87% | $68.7M | $7.9B | 2026-10-21 |
| 11 | GUNR FlexShares Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources Index Fund | Nport | 0.68% | $48.9M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 12 | DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.15% | $47.2M | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 13 | DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF | Dimensional | 0.12% | $39.3M | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 14 | AVUV Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF | Avantis | 0.12% | $38.7M | $31.5B | 2026-10-21 |
| 15 | VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $28.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 16 | IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $23.6M | $57.2B | 2026-10-21 |
| 17 | RPV Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF | Invesco | 1.26% | $21.7M | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 18 | VAW Vanguard Materials ETF | Vanguard | 0.48% | $21.6M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 19 | SCHM Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.14% | $20.5M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 20 | DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF | Dimensional | 0.02% | $20.0M | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 21 | FNDX Schwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF | Nport | 0.07% | $18.6M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 22 | DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $17.8M | $44.8B | 2026-10-21 |
| 23 | MOO VanEck Agribusiness ETF | VanEck | 1.52% | $16.8M | $1.1B | 2026-10-21 |
| 24 | DON WisdomTree U.S. Midcap Dividend Fund | Nport | 0.41% | $16.1M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | SPYM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 500® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.01% | $15.6M | $184.5B | 2026-10-21 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 '26 | 2026-06-30 | $2.82B | $-272.80M | $-0.86 | $167.40M |
| Q1 '26 | 2026-03-31 | $3.00B | $-257.60M | $-0.81 | $104.20M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-31 | $2.97B | $-519.50M | $-1.63 | $-56.10M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-09-30 | $3.45B | $411.40M | $1.29 | $228.50M |
| Q2 '25 | 2025-06-30 | $3.01B | $410.70M | $1.29 | $609.50M |
| Q1 '25 | 2025-03-31 | $2.62B | $238.10M | $0.75 | $42.90M |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | $2.82B | $169.00M | $0.53 | $219.30M |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-09-30 | $2.81B | $122.20M | $0.38 | $312.90M |
| Q2 '24 | 2024-06-30 | $2.82B | $-161.50M | $-0.50 | $847.00M |
| Q1 '24 | 2024-03-31 | $2.68B | $45.20M | $0.14 | $-80.00M |
| Q4 '23 | 2023-12-31 | $3.15B | $365.30M | $1.11 | $538.10M |
| Q3 '23 | 2023-09-30 | $3.55B | $-4.20M | $-0.01 | $647.40M |
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.