NRUC National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corporation 5.500% Subordinated Notes due 2064 (Subordinated Deferrable Interest Notes)

XNYS
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

NRUC — —
Key stats
About
Industry (SIC)
MISCELLANEOUS BUSINESS CREDIT INSTITUTION (6159)
Exchange
XNYS
List Date
2019-05-08
CIK
0000070502
Headquarters
Dulles, VA
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
'21'22'23'24'25'26Avg
Jan-3.88%-2.09%-0.25%-1.36%-0.04%2.60%-0.84%
Feb-3.03%-4.37%-2.08%1.57%1.03%-2.69%-1.59%
Mar0.42%1.77%-0.64%-1.82%0.79%-4.06%-0.59%
Apr-0.38%-6.24%6.97%-1.44%-0.13%4.79%0.59%
May-0.41%7.96%-3.17%0.73%3.63%-0.59%1.36%
Jun2.89%-4.00%0.83%-1.37%0.59%-4.38%-0.91%
Jul-0.62%4.83%-1.76%0.61%2.71%-2.37%0.57%
Aug-0.80%-3.22%1.64%2.14%-3.35%-5.38%-1.50%
Sep0.15%-9.30%-3.80%0.89%2.58%-0.77%-1.71%
Oct2.06%0.71%-1.51%-1.16%-3.23%-3.54%*-1.11%
Nov-4.11%5.31%3.16%1.52%0.73%--1.32%
Dec2.25%2.42%5.88%-7.38%0.72%--0.78%
Total-5.60%-7.45%4.74%-7.19%5.94%-15.64%-4.20%
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $20.61
SMA 50: $21.12
SMA 200: $23.04
Current: $19.88
EMA 12: $20.40
EMA 26: $20.68
MACD: -0.2738 | Signal: -0.0559
BEARISH
ADX (14): 17.68
RANGE
+DI: 18.47
−DI: 25.91

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 31.20
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 10.90
Stoch %D: 9.22
Williams %R: -91.74

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $21.29
BB Lower: $19.93
OVERSOLD
OBV: -647,628
Vol SMA 20: 29,903
Vol ROC: 17.41%
ATR: $0.40
True Range: $0.45
HV 20: 15.3%
HV 30: 14.4%
HV 60: 11.6%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-11T00:00:00 – 2026-10-09T00:00:00
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report: NRUC

Executive Summary

Overall assessment: NEUTRAL with confidence level (6/10)

Key drivers and primary risks:

  • Technical signals indicate a neutral market with no strong trends, supported by the RSI and MACD indicators.
  • Recent news headlines are neutral, focusing on conference calls and financial results without significant market-moving events.
  • Risk metrics suggest low volatility, making NRUC less sensitive to market fluctuations.

Investment thesis: NRUC's neutral technical and news sentiment make it a relatively stable investment opportunity. The stock's beta is low, indicating limited risk relative to the broader market.

Recent news sentiment impact: Neutral news headlines have had no significant impact on NRUC's price movements in recent weeks.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Medium-term (1-3 months): NEUTRAL, Short-term (1-4 weeks): BEARISH, Long-term (3-12 months): BULLISH

Support/Resistance Levels:

  • Resistance: $24.23 (upper Bollinger Band)
  • Support: $23.73 (lower Bollinger Band)

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI interpretation: NEUTRAL (50.65), indicating a lack of strong momentum.
  • MACD signal: BULLISH (0.03 / Signal: -0.02 / Histogram: 0.05).
  • Bollinger Bands position: NEUTRAL, with price touching the middle band.

Volume Analysis: Volume is low, suggesting limited institutional interest in NRUC's recent price movements.

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: Neutral news headlines focus on conference calls and financial results without significant market-moving events.

Sentiment Assessment: NEUTRAL (average sentiment of all recent headlines).

Catalyst Identification: No upcoming earnings or product launches are scheduled to significantly impact NRUC's price movements in the near term.

Market Narrative: The neutral technical and news sentiment suggest that NRUC is not experiencing significant market-moving events, making it a relatively stable investment opportunity.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: Low volatility (0.19 vs SPY), indicating limited risk relative to the broader market.

Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels: LOW (compared to historical averages).

Options Market Signals: No options data available for analysis.

Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations are discussed below.

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: NRUC is performing relatively well within its sector, with a low correlation to the broader market.

Institutional Activity: Limited institutional interest in NRUC's recent price movements, as suggested by low volume trends.

Correlation Analysis: R-squared interpretation: 0.25 (low correlation), indicating that NRUC is not strongly influenced by the broader market.

Relative Valuation: Position within trading range: NRUC is currently trading near its historical average levels.

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Resistance: $24.23 (upper Bollinger Band)
  • Support: $23.73 (lower Bollinger Band)

Breakout/Breakdown Levels: No significant technical levels to monitor in the short term.

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No upcoming earnings or product launches are scheduled to significantly impact NRUC's price movements in the near term.

Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations: given NRUC's neutral technical and news sentiment, a stop-loss at $23.50 (5% below current price) could be considered for risk management purposes.

This analysis provides a comprehensive overview of NRUC's technical, news, and risk metrics. The neutral market conditions, low volatility, and lack of significant market-moving events suggest that NRUC is a relatively stable investment opportunity. However, investors should consider the potential for future market fluctuations and adjust their positions accordingly.

Generated

NRUC Options Activity & IV Rank

Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 0.2134
Alpha: -20.89%
Correlation: 0.2790
R-Squared: 7.8%
Stock Volatility: 10.0%
Market Volatility: 13.0%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time

NRUC Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

1 filers9,487 shares$215.16K value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BOYD WATTERSON ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC/OH 9,487 $215.16K 100.00% — 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
ETF Holders
35 ETFs hold NRUC
25 shown · $191.70M total exposure · 0.08% AUM-weighted avg weight
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
1 VCIT Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF Vanguard 0.07% $49.4M — 2026-08-31
2 VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF Vanguard 0.05% $26.2M — 2026-08-31
3 BND Vanguard Total Bond Market Vanguard 0.00% $15.8M — 2026-08-31
4 BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF Vanguard 0.02% $12.7M — 2026-08-31
5 PFF iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.10% $12.1M $12.2B 2026-10-08
6 GSY Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF Invesco 0.26% $10.0M — 2026-10-08
7 BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF Vanguard 0.01% $8.3M — 2026-08-31
8 PGX Invesco Preferred ETF Invesco 0.21% $7.5M — 2026-10-08
9 BSCR Invesco BulletShares 2027 Corporate Bond ETF Invesco 0.15% $6.7M — 2026-10-08
10 BSCS Invesco BulletShares 2028 Corporate Bond ETF Invesco 0.16% $5.6M — 2026-10-08
11 VRP Invesco Variable Rate Preferred ETF Invesco 0.14% $4.2M — 2026-10-08
12 GTO Invesco Total Return Bond ETF Invesco 0.14% $4.2M — 2026-10-08
13 VRIG Invesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF Invesco 0.21% $4.0M — 2026-10-08
14 BSCT Invesco BulletShares 2029 Corporate Bond ETF Invesco 0.13% $4.0M — 2026-10-08
15 BSCU Invesco BulletShares 2030 Corporate Bond ETF Invesco 0.13% $3.7M — 2026-10-08
16 BSCW Invesco BulletShares 2032 Corporate Bond ETF Invesco 0.20% $3.0M — 2026-10-08
17 PFFD Global X U.S. Preferred ETF Global X 0.15% $2.9M — 2026-10-09
18 VCLT Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF Vanguard 0.03% $2.8M — 2026-08-31
19 BSCX Invesco BulletShares 2033 Corporate Bond ETF Invesco 0.22% $2.4M — 2026-10-08
20 PSK State Street® SPDR® ICE Preferred Securities ETF SPDR (State Street) 0.30% $1.9M $632.2M 2026-10-08
21 BSCV Invesco BulletShares 2031 Corporate Bond ETF Invesco 0.07% $1.3M — 2026-10-08
22 BLV Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF Vanguard 0.01% $821,693 — 2026-08-31
23 NEAR iShares Short Duration Bond Active ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.02% $814,885 $5.1B 2026-10-08
24 VTC Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF Vanguard 0.04% $730,527 — 2026-06-30
25 VCRB Vanguard Core Bond ETF Vanguard 0.01% $423,297 — 2026-08-31
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.