SBXD SilverBox Corp IV
XNYS
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- BLANK CHECKS (6770)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $0.3B
- List Date
- 2024-10-07
- CIK
- 0002015947
- Headquarters
- Austin, TX
- Homepage
- https://www.sbcap.com
SilverBox Corp IV is a blank check company.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | 0.00% | 0.66% | 0.33% |
| Feb | -- | 0.50% | 0.47% | 0.48% |
| Mar | -- | 0.26% | 0.09% | 0.17% |
| Apr | -- | 1.28% | 0.28% | 0.78% |
| May | -- | 1.35% | 0.56% | 0.96% |
| Jun | -- | 4.48% | 0.28% | 2.38% |
| Jul | -- | -1.55% | 0.46% | -0.55% |
| Aug | -- | -1.35% | -0.09% | -0.72% |
| Sep | -- | -0.10% | 4.78% | 2.34% |
| Oct | 0.40% | 1.05% | -- | 0.73% |
| Nov | 0.12% | -0.54% | --* | -0.21% |
| Dec | 0.60% | 0.52% | -- | 0.56% |
| Total | 1.12% | 5.92% | 7.65% | 4.90% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: SBXD
Executive Summary
BULLISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key drivers:
- Bullish MACD signal
- Trending higher with ADX regime indicating a trend
- Neutral RSI suggests potential for continued momentum
Primary risks:
- Volatility increases as historical volatility is above average
- Negative beta may lead to market-moving opposite to the stock's price action
Investment thesis: SBXD is likely to continue trending upward, driven by its bullish technical indicators and strong momentum. However, the stock's negative beta poses a risk, and investors should be prepared for potential divergences in the market.
Recent news sentiment impact: No recent news headlines available, which may limit the analysis' confidence in this section.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bullish; Medium-term (1-3 months): Bullish; Long-term (3-12 months): Neutral
Support/Resistance Levels: Lower: $10.70, Middle: $10.86, Upper: $11.02
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (51.06)
- MACD signal: Bullish (0.01 / Signal: 0.00 / Histogram: 0.01)
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze
- Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20: 68542.42, On-Balance Volume (OBV): 3892736.25, Volume Rate of Change: -30.43%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news headlines available
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral (No recent news)
Catalyst Identification: None available
Market Narrative: Lack of recent news limits the analysis' ability to identify potential market-moving catalysts.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Negative beta (-0.04) indicates stock moves opposite to market
Volatility Regime: Above average historical volatility (HV20 16.9%, HV30 13.8%, HV60 10.7%)
Options Market Signals: No options data available
Downside Protection: Support levels: $10.70, $10.69; Risk management considerations: Use stop-loss orders and position sizing to manage risk.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: SBXD's performance is relatively strong within its sector
Institutional Activity: No institutional activity data available
Correlation Analysis: Correlation with the market (R-squared): -0.08 indicates stock moves opposite to market
Relative Valuation: SBXD is positioned near the upper end of its trading range.
Key Levels & Action Items
- Critical price levels: Support: $10.70, Middle: $10.86; Resistance: $11.02
- Breakout/Breakdown Levels: None available
- Time-Sensitive Catalysts: None available
- Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders and position sizing to manage risk.
Conclusion: SBXD is likely to continue trending upward, driven by its bullish technical indicators and strong momentum. However, the stock's negative beta poses a risk, and investors should be prepared for potential divergences in the market.
SBXD Options Activity & IV Rank
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Calendars: the long leg is valued at the short leg’s expiration (Black-Scholes at its current IV) across the range of prices the short leg’s IV implies, giving the best-case profit (R/R = that over the debit) and P(profit).
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Scanning bull put, bear call, iron condor and calendar spreads…
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Loading the implied volatility surface…
Loading the implied volatility smile…
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 194
Period: 252 trading days
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $2.2M | #2535 of 3716 | 0.0% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $110K | #5759 of 6285 | -7.2% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
SBXD Institutional Ownership (13F)
Filings for 2026-06-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
SBXD Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Jul 2, 2025Directors 5
- Daniel E. Esters · since Aug 15, 2024
- Jonathan M Lewis · since Aug 15, 2024
- Stephen M Kadenacy · since Aug 15, 2024
- Reed J Seaton · since Sep 23, 2024
- Glenn P Marino · since Jun 25, 2025
Officers 6
- Daniel E. Esters · Chief Financial Officer · since Aug 15, 2024
- Jin Chun · Chief Operating Officer · since Aug 15, 2024
- Duncan D Murdoch · Chief Investment Officer · since Aug 15, 2024
- Stephen M Kadenacy · Chairman & Chief Exec. Officer · since Aug 15, 2024
- David H. Lee · General Counsel · since Aug 15, 2024
- Joseph E Reece · Founding Partner · since Aug 15, 2024
10% owners 3
- Joseph E Reece · since Aug 15, 2024
- SilverBox Sponsor IV LLC (entity) · since Aug 15, 2024
- Stephen M Kadenacy · since Aug 15, 2024
Changes in the last 10 years (16)
| Jun 25, 2025 | Glenn P Marino became a director |
| Jun 24, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Matthew Eilers from the board in an SEC filing |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Reed J Seaton became a director |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Stephen M Kadenacy became a director |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Stephen M Kadenacy became a 10% owner |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Stephen M Kadenacy became Chairman & Chief Exec. Officer |
| Aug 15, 2024 | SilverBox Sponsor IV LLC became a 10% owner |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Matthew Eilers became a director |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Joseph E Reece became a 10% owner |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Joseph E Reece became Founding Partner |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Jonathan M Lewis became a director |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Jin Chun became Chief Operating Officer |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Duncan D Murdoch became Chief Investment Officer |
| Aug 15, 2024 | David H. Lee became General Counsel |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Daniel E. Esters became a director |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Daniel E. Esters became Chief Financial Officer |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
SBXD vs Peers
Related companies, largest first| Company | Market cap | P/E | Revenue growth | YTD | IV rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCCX Churchill Capital Corp X Class A Ordinar | $711M | — | — | −19.1% | — |
| DMII Drugs Made In America Acquisition II Cor | $650M | — | — | +3.3% | — |
| EVAC EQV Ventures Acquisition Corp. II | $606M | — | — | +3.4% | — |
| BCSS Bain Capital GSS Investment Corp. | $598M | — | — | +1.3% | — |
| CEPF Cantor Equity Partners IV, Inc. Class A | $589M | — | — | −0.3% | — |
| CXII Churchill Capital Corp XII Class A Ordin | $575M | — | — | +2.8% | — |
| AEXA American Exceptionalism Acquisition Corp | $526M | — | — | −7.3% | 17 |
| CAEP Cantor Equity Partners III, Inc. Class A | $526M | — | — | +46.9% | — |
| SBXD SilverBox Corp IV | $290M | — | — | +7.8% | — |
| Peer median | $593M | — | — | +2.0% | 17 |
P/E uses the latest reported trailing-12-month diluted EPS; "—" means no positive earnings or no data.