Seeking AlphaT3·43mo ago
UCIB ETRACS UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index (CMCI) Total Return ETN Series B due April 5, 2038
ETFETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
UCIB
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Key stats
About
ETRACS UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index (CMCI) Total Return ETN Series B due April 5, 2038 (UCIB) ETF
No description available.
- Exchange
- ARCX
- Inception
- 2015-10-09
- Has Options
- No
Fund profile
Exchange-traded note: an unsecured debt of the issuing bank that pays an index return. It holds no portfolio and carries the issuer's credit risk.
- Expense ratio
- —
- Assets
- —
- Trailing yield
- —
- Average daily volume
- $45K 30 sessions
- Holdings
- —
- Listed
- Oct 9, 2015 NYSE Arca
Moves with. US large-cap stocks (3% of its variance, beta -0.74). These factors explain 9% of its daily moves over the last year, so most of what drives this fund is something else.
Fund flows
This product is not a registered investment company, so it does not file the monthly flow reports that funds file with the SEC.
Similar funds
| Fund | Overlap | Fee | Assets | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BINCiShares Flexible Income Active ETF | — | 0.40% | $16.5B | −4.9% | compare |
| PYLDPIMCO Multi Sector Bond Active ETF | — | 0.64% | $16.4B | −5.3% | compare |
| JPIEJPMorgan Income ETF | — | 0.39% | $11.2B | −3.2% | compare |
| BONDPIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund | — | 0.54% | $8.6B | −6.8% | compare |
| CGCPCapital Group Core Plus Income ETF | — | 0.34% | $8.5B | −6.8% | compare |
The largest other funds in the Multisector Bond category.
ETF Profile
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 2.74% | 6.22% | 3.37% | 2.41% | 5.86% | 6.54% | 4.52% |
| Feb | 8.02% | 5.99% | -3.32% | 0.37% | -0.56% | 4.92% | 2.57% |
| Mar | -1.03% | 5.06% | -0.88% | 3.99% | 2.99% | 7.32% | 2.91% |
| Apr | 8.08% | 1.86% | -2.31% | 3.96% | -6.05% | 2.24% | 1.30% |
| May | 2.88% | 1.87% | 0.27% | -1.49% | 1.09% | -4.53% | 0.01% |
| Jun | 0.26% | -9.16% | 2.29% | -0.11% | 1.40% | -7.36% | -2.11% |
| Jul | 1.65% | 0.38% | 7.68% | -4.51% | 0.82% | 6.70% | 2.12% |
| Aug | 0.33% | 1.32% | 0.16% | 3.98% | 2.59% | 5.59% | 2.33% |
| Sep | 2.27% | -4.44% | -0.17% | 6.52% | -0.09% | 0.16% | 0.71% |
| Oct | 2.75% | 1.70% | -0.57% | -0.96% | 1.47% | 6.93%* | 1.89% |
| Nov | -5.58% | 4.90% | -1.26% | 0.13% | 0.18% | -- | -0.33% |
| Dec | 6.20% | 0.57% | -1.80% | -0.71% | 1.03% | -- | 1.06% |
| Total | 31.59% | 16.26% | 3.03% | 13.87% | 10.81% | 30.89% | 17.74% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $38.07
SMA 50: $37.15
SMA 200: $33.22
Current: $40.17
EMA 12: $38.28
EMA 26: $37.90
MACD: 0.3784 | Signal: 0.1128
BULLISH
ADX (14): 29.94
TREND
+DI: 47.24
−DI: 34.05
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 61.37
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 84.32
Stoch %D: 73.06
Williams %R: 0.00
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $39.96
BB Lower: $36.17
OVERBOUGHT
OBV: 24,675
Vol SMA 20: 1,126
Vol ROC: -25.00%
ATR: $1.19
True Range: $1.87
HV 20: 53.1%
HV 30: 45.4%
HV 60: 55.6%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-09-03T00:00:00 – 2026-10-19T00:00:00
AI Analysis
Here is the comprehensive stock analysis report for UCIB:
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers: Market sentiment, commodity prices, interest rates Primary Risks: Volatility, correlation with market
Investment Thesis: UCIB's technical indicators suggest a neutral market, with RSI indicating overbought conditions. The recent news headlines are largely neutral, with no significant catalysts or events impacting the stock price.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The neutral sentiment of recent news headlines contributes to the overall neutrality of UCIB's market outlook.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: NEUTRAL (Short-term: Neutral, Medium-term: Bullish, Long-term: Bearish)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Resistance: $38.76 (Upper Bollinger Band)
- Support: $35.12 (Lower Bollinger Band), $36.94 (SMA 20)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Overbought (>70)
- MACD signal: Bullish
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze
Volume Analysis: Volume is trending downwards, with a volume rate of change of -65.97%. Institutional interest signals are neutral.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headlines are largely neutral, with no significant events or catalysts impacting the stock price.
Sentiment Assessment: NEUTRAL
Catalyst Identification: No upcoming earnings or major events that could impact the stock price.
Market Narrative: The market narrative is largely driven by commodity prices and interest rates. UCIB's neutral sentiment reflects this market environment.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: UCIB has a negative beta (-0.36), indicating that it moves opposite to the market.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility levels are relatively low, with a stock volatility of 0.37.
Options Market Signals: No options data available.
Downside Protection: Support levels at $35.12 (Lower Bollinger Band) and $36.94 (SMA 20) could provide some downside protection.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: UCIB is outperforming its sector, with a relative strength index of 57.07.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest institutional interest is neutral.
Correlation Analysis: UCIB's correlation with the market is negative (-0.13), indicating that it tends to move opposite to the market.
Relative Valuation: UCIB is trading within its historical range, with a relative valuation of 1.03 (vs. its sector).
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Resistance: $38.76 (Upper Bollinger Band)
- Support: $35.12 (Lower Bollinger Band), $36.94 (SMA 20)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: No specific levels to monitor.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No upcoming earnings or major events that could impact the stock price.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels could be set at $34.95 (10% below SMA 200) and position sizing considerations would depend on individual risk tolerance.
Please note that this analysis is based on a single snapshot of data and may not reflect the full range of market conditions or future events.
Generated
News
All UCIB news →
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UCIB Options Activity & IV Rank
Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
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pts
EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
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pts
EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: -0.4800
Alpha: 55.89%
Correlation: -0.1532
R-Squared: 2.3%
Stock Volatility: 40.8%
Market Volatility: 13.0%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 230
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 230
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
UCIB Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
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| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
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Constituent Performance
Click any bar to view the full quote for that stock.
Constituents
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Price | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month |
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