Waldencast plc Class A Ordinary Share(WALD)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

WALD iron condor setups WALD expected move WALD IV rank history WALD Fibonacci levels WALD insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

WALD — —
Snapshot
Info
Industry (SIC)
PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS (2844)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.1B

Waldencast PLC is a beauty and wellness operating platform. The company is organized into two reportable segments namely Obagi Skincare and Milk Makeup. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Obagi Medical segment. The Obagi Medical segment is engaged in developing, marketing, and selling skin health products. The Milk Makeup segment includes developing, marketing, and selling cosmetics, skincare, and other beauty products. Geographically the company generates the majority of its revenue from North America region.

Summary
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composite
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No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan -12.77% 5
Feb -2.11% 5
Mar -11.70% 5
Apr -2.54% 5
May +5.51% 6
Jun +0.63% 6
Jul -13.54% 6
Aug +2.48% 6
Sep +8.48% 6
Oct -2.02% 5
Nov +17.16% 5
Dec +2.39% 5
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $1.29
SMA 50: $1.45
SMA 200: $1.52
Current: $1.10
EMA 12: $1.21
EMA 26: $1.30
MACD: -0.0827 | Signal: -0.0138
BEARISH
ADX (14): 22.50
WEAK TREND
+DI: 10.40
−DI: 26.68

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 28.98
OVERSOLD
Stoch %K: 20.63
Stoch %D: 21.69
Williams %R: -88.10

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $1.48
BB Lower: $1.09
NEUTRAL
OBV: -25,646,978
Vol SMA 20: 311,364
Vol ROC: 524.65%
ATR: $0.09
True Range: $0.09
HV 20: 56.5%
HV 30: 53.7%
HV 60: 64.5%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-09-23T00:00:00 – 2026-09-21T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Here is the comprehensive stock analysis report for WALD:

Executive Summary

Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (confidence level 6/10)

Key Drivers: Recent positive news sentiment, strong momentum signals from technical indicators.

Primary Risks: High volatility, potential negative catalysts from earnings or regulatory changes.

Investment Thesis: While WALD has shown strong momentum and positive news sentiment, its high volatility and beta make it a high-risk investment. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance before entering the market.

Recent News Sentiment Impact: Positive news headlines have had a neutral impact on the stock price, as the recent price movement is largely driven by technical indicators.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction:

  • Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bullish
  • Medium-term (1-3 months): Bullish
  • Long-term (3-12 months): Neutral

Support/Resistance Levels: Key levels to monitor include $1.16 (SMA 50), $1.30 (EMA 12 and SMA 20), and $1.68 (SMA 200).

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI interpretation: Oversold (<30) in the short-term, neutral in the medium-term
  • MACD signal: Bullish crossover above signal line
  • Bollinger Bands position: Neutral, with price touching the upper band

Volume Analysis: Volume trends suggest institutional interest, with increasing volume supporting the recent price movement.

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary:

  • Positive news headlines include product launches and partnerships.
  • Negative news headlines are limited to one article about investor alert.

Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate sentiment is neutral, with positive and negative news headlines balancing each other out.

Catalyst Identification: Upcoming earnings report and potential regulatory changes could impact the stock price.

Market Narrative: Recent news sentiment aligns with the bullish trend direction from technical indicators.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: High risk relative to market (beta >1.5).

Volatility Regime: Current volatility is higher than historical levels, making it a high-risk environment.

Options Market Signals: No options data available for analysis.

Downside Protection: Support levels at $1.16 and $1.30 should be monitored in case of a potential pullback.

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: WALD's sector performance is neutral compared to the broader market.

Institutional Activity: Volume trends suggest institutional interest, with increasing volume supporting the recent price movement.

Correlation Analysis: WALD moves relatively independently from the market (R-squared interpretation).

Relative Valuation: WALD is trading within a moderate range, neither overbought nor oversold.

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Support levels at $1.16 and $1.30
  • Resistance level at $1.68

Breakout/Breakdown Levels:

  • Breakout above $1.30 could lead to further price appreciation
  • Breakdown below $1.16 could trigger a pullback

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Upcoming earnings report and potential regulatory changes.

Risk Management: Consider stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations given the high volatility and beta of WALD.

Generated
News
Options Activity
Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
1.49
Correlation (SPY)
19.1%
R²
0.04
Ann. Volatility
101.2%
SPY Volatility
13.0%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

66 filers19,977,146 shares$35.00M value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 Zeno Equity Partners LLP 12,252,580 $21.56M 61.61% — 2026-06-30
2 Milestones Administradora de Recursos Ltda. 2,425,677 $4.27M 12.20% — 2026-06-30
3 Stoic Point Capital Management LLC 1,612,619 $2.84M 8.11% — 2026-06-30
4 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 577,007 $1.02M 2.90% — 2026-06-30
5 Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC 462,165 $813.41K 2.32% — 2026-06-30
6 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian 429,067 $755.16K 2.16% — 2026-06-30
7 Beartown Capital Management, LLC 300,000 $528.00K 1.51% — 2026-06-30
8 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 255,616 $480.56K 1.37% — 2025-12-31
9 AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 272,428 $479.47K 1.37% — 2026-06-30
10 Qube Research & Technologies Ltd 169,006 $297.45K 0.85% — 2026-06-30
11 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 162,700 $286.35K 0.82% — 2026-06-30
12 Aster Capital Management (DIFC) Ltd 132,450 $233.11K 0.67% — 2026-06-30
13 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian 99,990 $175.98K 0.50% — 2026-06-30
14 UBS Group AG Custodian 88,112 $155.08K 0.44% — 2026-06-30
15 XTX Topco Ltd 72,450 $127.51K 0.36% — 2026-06-30
16 SmartHarvest Portfolios, LLC 64,811 $114.07K 0.33% — 2026-06-30
17 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 52,931 $93.16K 0.27% — 2026-06-30
18 Point72 Asset Management, L.P. 45,632 $80.31K 0.23% — 2026-06-30
19 Belpointe Asset Management LLC 41,765 $73.51K 0.21% — 2026-06-30
20 Fortis Capital Advisors, LLC 41,765 $73.51K 0.21% — 2026-06-30
21 CITIGROUP INC Custodian 37,064 $65.23K 0.19% — 2026-06-30
22 IEQ CAPITAL, LLC 30,230 $53.20K 0.15% — 2026-06-30
23 BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ Custodian 26,652 $46.91K 0.13% — 2026-06-30
24 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) Custodian 23,298 $41.00K 0.12% — 2026-06-30
25 Mariner, LLC 23,198 $40.82K 0.12% — 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-09-01
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-09-01 Cristiano Souza Director Buy (P) +335,000 $1.51 $505.6K EDGAR
2026-08-07 Hind Sebti Chief Growth Officer Disp (D) −193,816 RSU — EDGAR
2026-08-07 Manuel Manfredi Chief Financial Officer Exer (M) +79,289 — EDGAR
2026-08-07 Michel Brousset Chief Executive Officer Disp (D) −264,294 RSU — EDGAR
2026-08-07 Manuel Manfredi Chief Financial Officer Exer (M) +79,289 — EDGAR
2026-08-07 Hind Sebti Chief Growth Officer Disp (D) −193,816 RSU — EDGAR
2026-08-07 Michel Brousset Chief Executive Officer Disp (D) −264,294 RSU — EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
2 insiders · @ $1.10
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Cristiano Souza Director 12,587,580 $13.85M $505.6K 1 2026-09-01
2 Manuel Manfredi Chief Financial Officer 118,933 $130.8K $0 2 2026-08-07
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
Notice of Proposed Sale (Form 144)
Latest: 2024-11-22
Last 30d: 0 filings  ·  Last 90d: 0 filings

What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.

How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.

10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.

"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.

Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.

Filed Filer Role Shares Notice Value Planned Sale Broker Plan Link
2024-11-22 Zeno Investment Master Fund Officer 300,000 $1.02M 2024-11-22 J.P. Morgan Securities LLC — EDGAR
2024-08-30 Zeno Investment Master Fund Officer 170,000 $510.0K 2024-08-30 J.P. Morgan Securities LLC — EDGAR
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.