COTY COTY INC
XNYS
3.05
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $1.82 – $4.25
- YTD
- -1.93%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 27.82
- Straddle Price
- $0.48
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.17
- Market Cap
- $2.8B
- Open
- $3.20
- Day Range
- $3.00 – $3.24
- Volume
- 6,353,979
- Prev Close
- $3.22
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.09% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.04 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 10.79% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 7.92% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +116.1pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -10.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.3B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -19.6% |
| Book / Price | 117.0% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 62.9% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 6.0% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.92 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | -0.8% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $2.78 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $2.84 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 1027.9% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $2.9B |
| Market Cap | $3B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $0.96 | 28% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 21.9× · 3 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $6.39 | 8% | median 11.1× · 5 peers |
| Peer P/B | $12.92 | 11% | median 3.4× · 5 peers |
| Peer P/S | $7.35 | 11% | median 1.1× · 5 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $2.78 | 41% | stability 73% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $3.16 | 0% | 5 strikes · skew +0.11 |
- Industry (SIC)
- PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS (2844) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $2.8B
- Employees
- 11,335
- List Date
- 2013-06-13
- CIK
- 0001024305
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-04 (After-Close)
- EPS Forecast
- $0.12 (6 est.)
- Headquarters
- New York, NY
- Homepage
- https://www.coty.com
Coty Inc is beauty companies with an iconic portfolio of brands across fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care. Its segments are Prestige, Consumer Beauty, and Corporate. Majority of income comes from Prestige segment. Its consumer Beauty brands are Adidas, David Beckham, Bozzano, Bourjois, Bruno Banani, CoverGirl, Jovan, LeGer by Lena Gercke, Max Factor, Mexxmonange, Nauticapaixao, Rimmel, risque, Sally Hansen, and Vera Wang. Prestige brands are Burberry, Calvin Klein, Chloe, Davidoff, Escada, Etro, Gucci, Hugo Boss, Infiniment Coty Paris, Jil Sander, Joop, Kylie Cosmetics by Kylie…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -5.77% | -20.45% | 13.57% | -1.15% | 6.85% | 1.93% | -0.84% |
| Feb | 16.92% | 7.00% | 10.24% | 2.61% | -19.86% | -22.53% | -0.94% |
| Mar | 11.65% | 0.00% | 6.63% | -5.60% | 0.00% | -18.62% | -0.99% |
| Apr | 11.59% | -9.59% | -2.06% | -3.78% | -8.51% | 20.59% | 1.37% |
| May | -13.07% | -11.60% | -8.21% | -8.24% | -1.79% | -13.77% | -9.45% |
| Jun | 3.20% | 13.78% | 11.83% | -1.76% | -4.52% | 4.85% | 4.56% |
| Jul | -6.23% | -5.79% | -3.06% | 1.95% | -1.22% | 20.35% | 1.00% |
| Aug | 14.54% | 2.46% | -1.28% | -2.90% | -9.51% | 2.15% | 0.91% |
| Sep | -19.22% | -15.39% | -5.19% | -0.53% | -6.91% | -8.10% | -9.22% |
| Oct | 3.67% | 2.91% | -12.76% | -18.87% | 0.00% | 15.09%* | -1.66% |
| Nov | 11.71% | 14.22% | 22.32% | -1.20% | -14.87% | -- | 6.44% |
| Dec | 12.78% | 7.81% | 7.25% | -9.02% | -7.78% | -- | 2.21% |
| Total | 39.54% | -19.89% | 39.37% | -40.36% | -52.01% | -8.90% | -7.04% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Here is my comprehensive stock analysis report for Coty Inc (COTY):
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH/NEUTRAL with confidence level 6/10. Key Drivers:
- Recent earnings misses and downgrades
- High volatility in the options market, indicating increased risk Primary Risks:
- Earnings uncertainty
- Regulatory changes impacting industry trends
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The recent news headlines suggest a mix of neutral and positive sentiment. The company's corporate portfolio update and deal with KKR were met with positivity, while the downgrade from an analyst and earnings misses have contributed to negative sentiment.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: BEARISH (price below SMA 20)
- Medium-term: BEARISH (price below SMA 50)
- Long-term: NEUTRAL (SMA 200 not trending)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $3.51
- Lower Bollinger Band: $3.07
Momentum Signals:
- RSI (14): Neutral (33.37), indicating no clear trend
- MACD: Bearish (-0.12 / Signal: -0.01 / Histogram: -0.11)
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: Decreasing, indicating reduced institutional interest
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): Negative, suggesting selling pressure
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent headlines suggest a mix of neutral and positive sentiment, with some negative news contributing to the bearish outlook.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate sentiment is NEUTRAL, with 2/6 articles having positive sentiment and 1/6 article having negative sentiment. The remaining 3 articles were neutral.
Catalyst Identification: The upcoming earnings report (2025-08-20) may have a significant impact on the stock price.
Market Narrative: The news headlines align with the bearish technical signals, suggesting that the recent negative sentiment may continue in the short term.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Risk Metrics: Beta: 1.10 (vs SPY), indicating above-average volatility. Stock Volatility: 0.51, suggesting increased risk.
Options Market Signals: IV Rank: 100.0% (High - shows if volatility is historically high/low). Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.42 (Bullish sentiment).
Downside Protection: The lower Bollinger Band at $3.07 may provide support in the event of a decline.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Coty's sector, Beauty, has been performing relatively well recently.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest reduced institutional interest.
Correlation Analysis: Coty's correlation with the market (R-squared interpretation) is 0.42, indicating moderate dependence on the broader market.
Relative Valuation: The stock trades within a trading range, suggesting that it may be due for a breakout or consolidation.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $3.51
- Lower Bollinger Band: $3.07
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- SMA 20: $3.29 (short-term support)
- SMA 50: $3.57 (medium-term resistance)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: The upcoming earnings report (2025-08-20) may have a significant impact on the stock price.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels at $2.95 and position sizing considerations are recommended to manage risk.
Please note that this analysis is based solely on the provided data and should not be taken as investment advice.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-09 | After-Close | 7.86% | 2.52% | 0.32x | Within |
| 2021-04-15 | After-Close | 3.18% | 1.42% | 0.45x | Within |
| 2021-08-26 | After-Close | 4.34% | 0.74% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2021-11-08 | After-Close | 6.45% | 1.12% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2022-02-08 | After-Close | 5.07% | 3.88% | 0.77x | Within |
| 2022-05-09 | After-Close | 9.05% | 6.38% | 0.70x | Within |
| 2022-08-25 | After-Close | 3.06% | 2.82% | 0.92x | Within |
| 2022-11-08 | After-Close | 5.23% | 6.50% | 1.24x | Exceeded |
| 2023-02-08 | After-Close | 3.25% | 1.67% | 0.51x | Within |
| 2023-05-09 | After-Close | 3.67% | 0.51% | 0.14x | Within |
| 2023-07-06 | After-Close | 2.78% | 1.88% | 0.68x | Within |
| 2023-08-22 | After-Close | 4.48% | 4.94% | 1.10x | Exceeded |
| 2023-11-07 | After-Close | 8.17% | 1.21% | 0.15x | Within |
| 2024-02-07 | After-Close | 8.05% | 2.46% | 0.31x | Within |
| 2024-05-06 | After-Close | 8.52% | 3.48% | 0.41x | Within |
| 2024-08-20 | After-Close | 11.80% | 6.30% | 0.53x | Within |
| 2024-11-06 | After-Close | 10.77% | 2.42% | 0.22x | Within |
| 2025-02-10 | After-Close | 9.97% | 9.31% | 0.93x | Within |
| 2025-05-06 | After-Close | 10.64% | 11.61% | 1.09x | Exceeded |
| 2025-08-20 | After-Close | 15.43% | 21.60% | 1.40x | Exceeded |
| 2025-11-05 | After-Close | 15.87% | 1.59% | 0.10x | Within |
| 2026-02-05 | After-Close | 20.63% | 15.56% | 0.75x | Within |
| 2026-05-05 | After-Close | 20.51% | 3.52% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2026-08-19 | After-Close | 11.55% | 9.24% | 0.80x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
COTY Options Activity & IV Rank
COTY IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 73rd percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $2.4M | #2485 of 3716 | -52.0% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $366K | #4849 of 6285 | -96.8% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $12K | #3957 of 4729 | -9.9% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
COTY Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $455.76K | 21.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $420.34K | 20.28% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $311.90K | 15.05% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $268.27K | 12.95% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $212.33K | 10.25% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $210.12K | 10.14% | 2025-09-30 |
| 7 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $152.06K | 7.34% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Caption Management, LLC | $41.47K | 2.00% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $1.53M | 58.15% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $528.55K | 20.05% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $328.54K | 12.46% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $114.05K | 4.33% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $82.51K | 3.13% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $49.68K | 1.88% | 2026-06-30 |
COTY Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-04-10| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Priya Srinivasan | Chief People & Purpose Officer | Mixed | +2,394 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-03 | Carsten Fischer | Director | Grant (A) | +7,142 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-03 | Aalia Nighat Gogi | Director | Grant (A) | +7,142 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-03 | Robert Kunst-Concewitz | Director | Grant (A) | +7,142 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-03 | Maria Carla Liuni | Director | Grant (A) | +7,142 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-20 | Stephanie Plaines | Director | Grant (A) | +7,142 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-18 | Markus Strobel | Interim CEO | Grant (A) | +7,351,352 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-09 | Gordon von Bretten | President - Consumer Beauty | Buy (P) | +83,000 | $2.41 | $200.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-18 | Laurent Mercier | Chief Financial Officer | Buy (P) | +5,000 | $2.65 | $13.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-05 | Patricia Capel | Director | Grant (A) | +12,363 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-01-05 | Anna Adeola Makanju | Director | Exer (M) | +13,287 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-22 | Kristin Blazewicz | Chief Legal Officer | Grant (A) | +86,487 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-22 | Laurent Mercier | Chief Financial Officer | Grant (A) | +111,925 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-22 | Anna von Bayern | Chief Corp. Affairs Officer | Grant (A) | +61,050 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-12-22 | Priya Srinivasan | Chief People & Purpose Officer | Grant (A) | +148,810 RSU | — | EDGAR |
COTY Insider Holdings
18 insiders · @ $3.05| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Agnaten | 10%+ Owner | 905,707,368 | — | $872.96M | 13 | 2025-09-03 |
| 2 | SE Lucresca | 10%+ Owner | 903,707,368 | — | $9.36B | 14 | 2025-08-19 |
| 3 | Sue Nabi | Chief Executive Officer | 33,689,786 | $102.75M | $3.54M | 9 | 2025-09-03 |
| 4 | Peter Harf | Director | 12,448,166 | $37.97M | $84.66M | 34 | 2025-11-18 |
| 5 | Anna von Bayern | Chief Corp. Affairs Officer | 1,547,249 | $4.72M | $232.3K | 10 | 2025-12-22 |
| 6 | Maria Asunicion Aramburuzabala | Director | 1,425,000 | $4.35M | $15.48M | 7 | 2024-11-19 |
| 7 | Kristin Blazewicz | Chief Legal Officer | 1,097,945 | $3.35M | $126.5K | 10 | 2025-12-22 |
| 8 | Olivier Goudet | Director | 1,069,102 | $3.26M | $4.44M | 26 | 2024-11-19 |
| 9 | Johannes P Huth | Director | 1,000,000 | $3.05M | $6.20M | 4 | 2024-11-19 |
| 10 | Gordon von Bretten | President - Consumer Beauty | 986,620 | $3.01M | $502.7K | 15 | 2026-03-09 |
COTY Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Apr 10, 2026Directors 11
- Robert S Singer · since Jun 13, 2013
- Joachim Creus · since Nov 5, 2019
- Gordon von Bretten · listed since Apr 2024
- Franciscus Antonius Engelen · since Nov 6, 2025
- Markus Strobel · since Jan 1, 2026
- Patricia Capel · since Jan 1, 2026
- Aalia Nighat Gogi · since Mar 18, 2026
- Carsten Fischer · since Mar 18, 2026
- Maria Carla Liuni · since Mar 18, 2026
- Robert Kunst-Concewitz · since Mar 18, 2026
- Stephanie Plaines · since Mar 18, 2026
Officers 7
- Markus Strobel · Interim CEO · since Jan 1, 2026
- Gordon von Bretten · President - Consumer Beauty · listed since Nov 2025
- Laurent Mercier · Chief Financial Officer · since Feb 15, 2021
- Kristin Blazewicz · Chief Legal Officer · since Mar 16, 2020
- Anna von Bayern · Chief Corp. Affairs Officer · since Sep 1, 2020
- Priya Srinivasan · Chief People & Purpose Officer · since Apr 5, 2023
- Ayesha Zafar · SVP Group Controller · since May 5, 2016
10% owners 3
- JAB Holdings B.V. (entity) · since Jun 13, 2013
- SE Agnaten · since Jun 13, 2013
- SE Lucresca · since Jun 13, 2013
Changes in the last 10 years (97)
| Mar 18, 2026 | The company announced the departure of Isabelle Parize from the board in an SEC filing |
| Mar 18, 2026 | The company announced the departure of Beatrice Ballini from the board in an SEC filing |
| Mar 18, 2026 | The company announced the departure of Anna Adeola Makanju from the board in an SEC filing |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Stephanie Plaines became a director |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Robert Kunst-Concewitz became a director |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Maria Carla Liuni became a director |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Carsten Fischer became a director |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Aalia Nighat Gogi became a director |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Patricia Capel became a director |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Markus Strobel became a director |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Markus Strobel became Interim CEO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Sue Nabi from the board in an SEC filing |
| Dec 20, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Sue Nabi as Chief Executive Officer in an SEC filing |
| Dec 20, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Peter Harf from the board in an SEC filing |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gordon von Bretten first listed as President - Consumer Beauty in an SEC filing |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Franciscus Antonius Engelen became a director |
| Jul 14, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Johannes P Huth from the board in an SEC filing |
| Feb 7, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Maria Asunicion Aramburuzabala from the board in an SEC filing |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Gordon von Bretten no longer listed as Chief Transformation Officer in SEC filings |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Gordon von Bretten first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Priya Srinivasan became Chief People & Purpose Officer |
| Mar 8, 2023 | The company announced the departure of Erhard Schoewel from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Rochet Lubomira became a director |
| Jul 15, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Justine Tan from the board in an SEC filing |
| Nov 2, 2021 | The company announced the departure of Nancy G. Ford from the board in an SEC filing |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Rainbow Aggregator L.P. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Rainbow Aggregator GP LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Management LLP reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Group Partnership L.P. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Group Holdings Corp. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR European Fund V (USD) SCSp reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Europe V S.a r.l. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Europe V Holdings Ltd reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR Associates Europe V SCSp reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KKR & Co. Inc. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Henry R Kravis reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 1, 2021 | George R Roberts reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Laurent Mercier became Chief Financial Officer |
| Dec 31, 2020 | Peter Harf no longer listed as Chief Executive Officer in SEC filings |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Maria Asunicion Aramburuzabala became a director |
| Dec 18, 2020 | Anna Adeola Makanju became a director |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Peter Harf first listed as Chief Executive Officer in an SEC filing |
| Sep 9, 2020 | Richard J.S. Jones reported in an SEC filing no longer being Global Chief Supply Officer |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Sue Nabi became a director |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Sue Nabi became Chief Executive Officer |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Anna von Bayern became Chief Corp. Affairs Officer |
| Jul 31, 2020 | Nancy G. Ford became a director |
| Jun 9, 2020 | Pierre-Andre Terisse listed as Chief Financial Officer & COO (previously Chief Financial Officer) in SEC filings |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Rainbow Aggregator L.P. became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Rainbow Aggregator GP LLC became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Management LLP became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Group Partnership L.P. became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Group Holdings Corp. became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR European Fund V (USD) SCSp became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Europe V S.a r.l. became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Europe V Holdings Ltd became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR Associates Europe V SCSp became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | KKR & Co. Inc. became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | Henry R Kravis became a 10% owner |
| Jun 2, 2020 | George R Roberts became a 10% owner |
| May 31, 2020 | Gordon von Bretten became Chief Transformation Officer |
| May 31, 2020 | Anne Jaeckin became Chief Human Resources Officer |
| May 26, 2020 | Johannes P Huth became a director |
| Mar 16, 2020 | Kristin Blazewicz became Chief Legal Officer |
| Feb 27, 2020 | Justine Tan became a director |
| Feb 27, 2020 | Isabelle Parize became a director |
| Jan 2, 2020 | Simona Cattaneo became President, Luxury Brands |
| Jan 2, 2020 | Pascal Baltussen became Chief Procurement Officer |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Joachim Faber reported in an SEC filing no longer being a director |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Anna-Lena Kamenetzky reported in an SEC filing no longer being a director |
| Nov 5, 2019 | Joachim Creus became a director |
| Nov 1, 2019 | Richard J.S. Jones became Global Chief Supply Officer |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Pierre Denis became a director |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Beatrice Ballini became a director |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Luc Volatier reported in an SEC filing no longer being Chief Global Supply Officer |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Jean-Claude Thomas became Chief of Supply Operations |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Gianluca Colombo became Chief Procurement Officer |
| Jul 1, 2019 | Sophie Hanrot became Chief Human Resources Officer |
| Jun 11, 2019 | Fiona Hughes became Chief Marketing Officer, CB |
| Apr 23, 2019 | JAB Beauty B.V. became a 10% owner |
| Feb 1, 2019 | Pierre-Andre Terisse became Chief Financial Officer |
| Jan 15, 2019 | Lambertus J.H. Becht reported in an SEC filing no longer being a director |
| Jan 14, 2019 | Luc Volatier became Chief Global Supply Officer |
| Jan 14, 2019 | Giovanni Pieraccioni became Chief Operating Officer, CB |
| Jan 13, 2019 | Anna-Lena Kamenetzky became a director |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Pierre Laubies became a director |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Pierre Laubies became Chief Executive Officer |
| May 21, 2018 | Esra Erkal-Paler became Chief Global Corp. Affrs. Ofc. |
| Sep 15, 2017 | Daniel E Ramos became Chief Scientific Officer |
| Jul 5, 2017 | Ralph Macchio reported in an SEC filing no longer being SVP of Global R&D, CSO |
| Jun 28, 2017 | Laurent Kleitman listed as President, Consumer Beauty (previously President Coty Consumer Beauty) in SEC filings |
| May 15, 2017 | Laurent Kleitman became President Coty Consumer Beauty |
| Apr 17, 2017 | Sabine Chalmers became a director |
| Mar 14, 2017 | Bracey Esi Eggleston reported in an SEC filing no longer being President, Consumer Beauty |
| Feb 17, 2017 | Camillo Pane first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Nov 17, 2016 | Lambertus J.H. Becht no longer listed as Interim CEO in SEC filings |
| Oct 24, 2016 | Greerson Greene McMullen became Chief Legal Officer |
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Not reported recently (27)
- Olivier Goudet · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Nov 19, 2024
- Rochet Lubomira · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Nov 19, 2024
- JAB Beauty B.V. · Last reported as a 10% owner in an SEC filing dated Dec 22, 2023
- Anne Jaeckin · Last reported as Chief Human Resources Officer in an SEC filing dated Oct 21, 2022
- JAB Cosmetics B.V. · Last reported as a 10% owner in an SEC filing dated Oct 29, 2021
- Pierre-Andre Terisse · Last reported as Chief Financial Officer & COO in an SEC filing dated Jan 4, 2021
- Paul S. Michaels · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Nov 17, 2020
- Pierre Laubies · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Mar 16, 2020
- Giovanni Pieraccioni · Last reported as Chief Operating Officer, CB in an SEC filing dated Feb 14, 2020
- Pascal Baltussen · Last reported as Chief Procurement Officer in an SEC filing dated Jan 14, 2020
- Simona Cattaneo · Last reported as President, Luxury Brands in an SEC filing dated Jan 14, 2020
- Sylvie Moreau · Last reported as President, Professional Beauty in an SEC filing dated Dec 9, 2019
- Sabine Chalmers · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Nov 19, 2019
- Pierre Denis · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Nov 19, 2019
- Edgar O. Huber · Last reported as President of Coty Luxury in an SEC filing dated Nov 18, 2019
- Daniel E Ramos · Last reported as Chief Scientific Officer in an SEC filing dated Nov 18, 2019
- Fiona Hughes · Last reported as Chief Marketing Officer, CB in an SEC filing dated Nov 18, 2019
- Sophie Hanrot · Last reported as Chief Human Resources Officer in an SEC filing dated Nov 18, 2019
- Jean-Claude Thomas · Last reported as Chief of Supply Operations in an SEC filing dated Sep 24, 2019
- Gianluca Colombo · Last reported as Chief Procurement Officer in an SEC filing dated Sep 24, 2019
- Sebastien Froidefond · Last reported as Chief Human Resources Officer in an SEC filing dated Feb 20, 2019
- Greerson Greene McMullen · Last reported as Chief Legal Officer in an SEC filing dated Feb 20, 2019
- Mario Reis · Last reported as Chief Supply Chain Officer in an SEC filing dated Sep 6, 2018
- Camillo Pane · Last reported as Chief Executive Officer in an SEC filing dated Sep 6, 2018
- Laurent Kleitman · Last reported as President, Consumer Beauty in an SEC filing dated Sep 6, 2018
- Esra Erkal-Paler · Last reported as Chief Global Corp. Affrs. Ofc. in an SEC filing dated Sep 6, 2018
- Patrice de Talhouet · Last reported as Chief Financial Officer in an SEC filing dated Sep 11, 2017
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | 0001024305-26-000028 | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-18 | 0001024305-26-000022 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-05 | 0001024305-26-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2025-12-22 | 0001193125-25-327571 | EDGAR |
| 2025-12-19 | 0001193125-25-325599 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-12 | 0001024305-25-000068 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-05 | 0001024305-25-000064 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-15 | 0001193125-25-240308 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-07 | 0001193125-25-232289 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-02 | 0001193125-25-227594 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-21 | 0001024305-25-000030 | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-20 | 0001024305-24-000035 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-22 | 0001024305-23-000060 | EDGAR |
| 2022-08-25 | 0001024305-22-000053 | EDGAR |
| 2021-08-26 | 0001024305-21-000063 | EDGAR |
| 2020-08-27 | 0001024305-20-000084 | EDGAR |
| 2019-08-28 | 0001024305-19-000097 | EDGAR |
| 2018-08-21 | 0001024305-18-000026 | EDGAR |
| 2017-08-23 | 0001024305-17-000071 | EDGAR |
| 2016-08-18 | 0001024305-16-000181 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | 0001024305-26-000029 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-05 | 0001024305-26-000014 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-05 | 0001024305-25-000065 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-07 | 0001024305-25-000018 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-10 | 0001024305-25-000007 | EDGAR |
| 2024-11-06 | 0001024305-24-000071 | EDGAR |
| 2024-05-07 | 0001024305-24-000023 | EDGAR |
| 2024-02-08 | 0001024305-24-000007 | EDGAR |
| 2023-11-08 | 0001024305-23-000102 | EDGAR |
| 2023-05-09 | 0001024305-23-000036 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $72.3M | $103.1B | 2026-10-20 |
| 2 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $33.1M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $29.4M | $75.1B | 2026-10-20 |
| 4 | VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $23.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 5 | VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $15.2M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 6 | SPSM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 600™ Small Cap ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.07% | $11.2M | $15.7B | 2026-10-20 |
| 7 | VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $11.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.08% | $10.7M | $13.7B | 2026-10-20 |
| 9 | VDC Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF | Vanguard | 0.12% | $10.4M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 10 | IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.13% | $10.1M | $7.6B | 2026-10-20 |
| 11 | RWJ Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Revenue ETF | Invesco | 0.45% | $8.9M | — | 2026-10-20 |
| 12 | CALF Pacer US Small Cap Cash Cows 100 ETF | Nport | 0.21% | $7.1M | — | 2026-04-30 |
| 13 | SLYV State Street® SPDR® S&P 600™ Small Cap Value ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.13% | $6.4M | $4.7B | 2026-10-20 |
| 14 | DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.02% | $6.3M | — | 2026-10-20 |
| 15 | DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.02% | $5.9M | — | 2026-10-20 |
| 16 | IFLN Invesco Bloomberg Enhanced Fallen Angels ETF | Invesco | 2.01% | $5.7M | — | 2026-10-20 |
| 17 | VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $5.5M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 18 | FNDA Schwab Fundamental U.S. Small Company ETF | Nport | 0.06% | $5.2M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 19 | RZV Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 Pure Value ETF | Invesco | 1.55% | $4.3M | — | 2026-10-20 |
| 20 | SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.02% | $3.8M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 21 | VIOO Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF | Vanguard | 0.06% | $3.5M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 22 | PRFZ Invesco RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF | Nport | 0.10% | $2.8M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 23 | ESML iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA Small-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.08% | $2.2M | $2.7B | 2026-10-20 |
| 24 | SCHM Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.01% | $2.2M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 25 | VFVA Vanguard U.S. Value Factor ETF | Vanguard | 0.20% | $2.0M | — | 2026-10-20 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 '26 | 2026-06-30 | $1.27B | $-144.30M | $-0.16 | $116.00M |
| Q3 '26 | 2026-03-31 | $1.28B | $-411.40M | $-0.47 | $-203.10M |
| Q2 '26 | 2025-12-31 | $1.68B | $-123.60M | $-0.14 | $559.70M |
| Q1 '26 | 2025-09-30 | $1.58B | $64.60M | $0.07 | $65.20M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-06-30 | $1.25B | $-72.10M | $-0.08 | $83.20M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-03-31 | $1.30B | $-409.00M | $-0.47 | $-122.50M |
| Q2 '25 | 2024-12-31 | $1.67B | $23.70M | $0.02 | $464.50M |
| Q1 '25 | 2024-09-30 | $1.67B | $79.60M | $0.09 | $67.40M |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-06-30 | $1.36B | $-100.20M | $-0.12 | $176.50M |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-03-31 | $1.39B | $500.00K | — | $-170.00M |
| Q2 '24 | 2023-12-31 | $1.73B | $177.60M | $0.20 | $421.90M |
| Q1 '24 | 2023-09-30 | $1.64B | $-1.70M | — | $186.20M |
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.