Will there be more than 230 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
chance of YES2%
-0.5pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
1–4%
24h volume
100
Open interest
1.5K
Large orders (14d)
$5K
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 99¢ | 1,230 | $1K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 2,000 | $2K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 2,000 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.