Will there be more than 240 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
chance of YES2%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (37h)
1–1%
24h volume
100
Open interest
3.2K
Large orders (14d)
$3K
Odds and volume
hourly, 37hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 97¢ | 1,850 | $2K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 1,204 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.