K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Alaska have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Settles Jan 03, 2027 (63d) All outcomes: Closest Senate race in 2026? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES8%
Price range (120d)
6–14%
30d +24 pts · 7d +21 pts
24h volume
16.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
57.9K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Iowa14%7.3K
Kansas14%18.8K
South Carolina10%13.9K
Michigan9%12.8K
Maine8%4.3K
Texas8%12.2K
Nebraska8%5.8K
Ohio7%3.7K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES8¢ 13,501$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.