Closest Senate race in 2026?

20 outcomesSettles Jan 03, 2027 (63d) Polls & election odds

Embed these odds

Paste this into any web page or blog post. The odds refresh every minute.

Theme
Preview
Favorite14%Iowa
Favorite
14%
Iowa
Runner-up
14%
Kansas
Biggest 24h move-2 pts
0%
North Carolina
24h volume
$188K
$1.3M open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

one winner
Iowa 14% +2
Kansas 14% -2
Michigan 9% +1
Maine 8%
Texas 8% -2
Alaska 8%
Ohio 7%
Florida 4% +1
Montana 2% -1
Louisiana 2% +1

+ 6 more in the table below.

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Texas
    YES $0 · NO $9K · 5 orders · biggest $3K
  • Florida
    YES $0 · NO $8K · 3 orders · biggest $3K
  • Kansas
    YES $0 · NO $8K · 2 orders · biggest $7K
  • Mississippi
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
  • Georgia
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 3 orders · biggest $2K
  • Alaska
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • Ohio
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
TexasNO 92¢$2K
GeorgiaNO 100¢$2K
GeorgiaNO 100¢$1K
AlaskaYES 8¢$1K
TexasNO 92¢$3K
TexasNO 91¢$1K
KansasNO 87¢$1K
OhioNO 93¢$1K
TexasNO 91¢$1K
GeorgiaNO 100¢$2K

All outcomes

20
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Iowa 14% +1.5 $7K $100K
Kansas 14% -1.5 $19K $129K
South Carolina 10% +2.0 $14K $85K
Michigan 9% +1.1 $13K $82K
Maine 8% — $4K $57K
Texas 8% -1.6 $12K $91K
Alaska 8% — $16K $58K
Nebraska 8% — $6K $56K
Ohio 7% — $4K $59K
Florida 4% +1.0 $7K $72K
Mississippi 4% -1.0 $6K $67K
Montana 2% -1.0 $3K $64K
Louisiana 2% +1.0 $12K $42K
New Hampshire 1% — $2K $47K
Minnesota 1% -0.6 $4K $48K
Idaho 0% — $7K $41K
South Dakota 0% — $12K $50K
Arkansas 0% — $26K $50K
North Carolina 0% -2.1 $2K $66K
Georgia 0% — $10K $67K