What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Texas

Closes Jan 03, 2027 (177d) 24h volume 128 Open interest 14.9K Event Closest Senate race in 2026?

18%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 73 days · High 21% · Low 14% · 7d -5.3pp · 30d -10.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.