What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Iowa

Closes Jan 03, 2027 (200d) 24h volume 110 Open interest 9.4K Event Closest Senate race in 2026?

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 12% · Low 8% · 7d -4.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.