Will South Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Settles Jan 03, 2027 (63d) All outcomes: Closest Senate race in 2026? Polls & election odds

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Preview
chance of YES10% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–10%
30d +100 pts · 7d +100 pts
24h volume
13.9K
$1 contracts
Open interest
84.9K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
3.0¢ 50,658 4.0¢ 427
2.0¢ 686 5.0¢ 258
1.0¢ 50 6.0¢ 750
7.0¢ 700
8.0¢ 500

Mid 3.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Iowa14%7.3K
Kansas14%18.8K
Michigan9%12.8K
Maine8%4.3K
Texas8%12.2K
Alaska8%16.3K
Nebraska8%5.8K
Ohio7%3.7K