K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will North Carolina have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

Settles Jan 03, 2027 (63d) All outcomes: Closest Senate race in 2026? Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES0% -2.1pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
0–5%
30d -21 pts · 7d +275 pts
24h volume
2.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
66.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
spread 0.8¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
0.2¢ 400 1.0¢ 9
0.1¢ 11,381 1.1¢ 9
1.2¢ 16
1.3¢ 16
1.4¢ 175

Mid 0.6¢ · spread 0.8¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Iowa14%7.3K
Kansas14%18.8K
South Carolina10%13.9K
Michigan9%12.8K
Maine8%4.3K
Texas8%12.2K
Alaska8%16.3K
Nebraska8%5.8K