K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in November 2026?

Settles Dec 10, 2026 (40d) All outcomes: CPI YoY in November Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES98% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
47–99%
· 7d +1 pts
24h volume
2
$1 contracts
Open interest
3.9K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 3.1%98%124
Above 3.5%94%85
Above 3.7%78%2
Above 3.8%61%151
Above 3.9%50%299
Above 4.0%32%726
Above 4.1%26%3
Above 4.3%10%16

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES96¢ 1,319$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.