K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in November 2026?

Settles Dec 10, 2026 (40d) All outcomes: CPI YoY in November Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES61% +2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
12–74%
30d +35 pts · 7d -9 pts
24h volume
151
$1 contracts
Open interest
53.9K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
61¢ / 65¢
spread 4.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
61.0¢ 1 65.0¢ 205
60.0¢ 135 66.0¢ 7
59.0¢ 113 73.0¢ 1
58.0¢ 4 74.0¢ 203
56.0¢ 0 75.0¢ 16

Mid 63.0¢ · spread 4.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 3.1%98%124
Above 3.3%98%2
Above 3.5%94%85
Above 3.7%78%2
Above 3.9%50%299
Above 4.0%32%726
Above 4.1%26%3
Above 4.3%10%16