Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in November 2026?
chance of YES26%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–31%
24h volume
3
Open interest
37.4K
Bid / ask
17¢ / 19¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.0¢ | 54 | 19.0¢ | 15 |
| 16.0¢ | 5,937 | 20.0¢ | 24 |
| 15.0¢ | 5,006 | 21.0¢ | 49 |
| 8.0¢ | 169 | 22.0¢ | 37 |
| 7.0¢ | 323 | 23.0¢ | 36 |
Mid 18.0¢ · spread 2.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Above 3.1%98%124
Above 3.3%98%2
Above 3.5%94%85
Above 3.7%77%2
Above 3.8%61%151
Above 3.9%50%126
Above 4.0%32%726
Above 4.3%10%16
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 83¢ | 2,510 | $2K | |
| NO | 82¢ | 5,308 | $4K | |
| NO | 81¢ | 5,810 | $5K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.