K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in November 2026?

Settles Dec 10, 2026 (40d) All outcomes: CPI YoY in November Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES32% +2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–48%
· 7d +0 pts
24h volume
726
$1 contracts
Open interest
32.2K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
30¢ / 31¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
30.0¢ 10 31.0¢ 1,049
28.0¢ 884 32.0¢ 625
26.0¢ 626 33.0¢ 0
7.0¢ 31 34.0¢ 125
6.0¢ 49 49.0¢ 18

Mid 30.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 3.1%98%124
Above 3.3%98%2
Above 3.5%94%85
Above 3.7%78%2
Above 3.8%61%151
Above 3.9%50%299
Above 4.1%26%3
Above 4.3%10%16